Prediction of Blast Furnace Gas Generation Based on Bayesian Network

被引:0
|
作者
Wu, Zitao [1 ]
Wu, Dinghui [1 ]
机构
[1] Jiangnan Univ, Sch Internet Things Engn, Wuxi 214122, Peoples R China
关键词
blast furnace gas; data division; event set construction; Bayesian network; ONLINE PREDICTION; SYSTEM; FLOW; CONSTRUCTION; INTERVALS;
D O I
10.3390/en18051182
中图分类号
TE [石油、天然气工业]; TK [能源与动力工程];
学科分类号
0807 ; 0820 ;
摘要
Due to the large fluctuation of blast furnace gas (BFG) generation and its complex production characteristics, it is difficult to accurately obtain its gas change rules. Therefore, this paper proposes a prediction method of BFG generation based on Bayesian network. First, the BFG generation data are divided according to the production rhythm of the hot blast stove, and the training event set is constructed for the two dimensions of interval generation and interval time. Then, the Bayesian network of generation and the Bayesian network of time corresponding to the two dimensions are built. Finally, the state of each prediction interval is inferred, and the results of the reasoning are mapped and combined to obtain the prediction results of the BFG generation interval combination. In the experiment part, the actual data of a large domestic iron and steel plant are used to carry out multi-group comparison experiments, and the results show that the proposed method can effectively improve the prediction accuracy.
引用
收藏
页数:15
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