Targeted carbon dioxide removal measures are essential for the cost and energy transformation of the electricity sector by 2050

被引:0
|
作者
Afrane, Sandylove [1 ,2 ]
Ampah, Jeffrey Dankwa [3 ]
Adun, Humphrey [4 ]
Chen, Jian Lin [5 ]
Zou, Hongyang [6 ]
Mao, Guozhu [2 ]
Yang, Pingjian [1 ]
机构
[1] Chinese Res Inst Environm Sci, State Key Lab Environm Criteria & Risk Assessment, Beijing 100012, Peoples R China
[2] Tianjin Univ, Sch Environm Sci & Engn, Tianjin 300072, Peoples R China
[3] Tianjin Univ, Sch Mech Engn, Tianjin 300072, Peoples R China
[4] Near East Univ, Operat Res Ctr Healthcare, TR-99138 Mersin 10, Turkiye
[5] City Univ Hong Kong, State Key Lab Marine Pollut, Tat Chee Ave, Hong Kong, Peoples R China
[6] Tianjin Univ, Coll Management & Econ, Tianjin 300072, Peoples R China
来源
COMMUNICATIONS EARTH & ENVIRONMENT | 2025年 / 6卷 / 01期
基金
国家重点研发计划;
关键词
CLIMATE-CHANGE; EMISSIONS; BIOENERGY; BIOMASS; FUTURE; SYSTEM;
D O I
10.1038/s43247-025-02190-8
中图分类号
X [环境科学、安全科学];
学科分类号
08 ; 0830 ;
摘要
Carbon dioxide removal is crucial for moderating the rapid pace of power sector transformation, while electrification can reduce the emission intensity of the carbon removal process. Here, we use a multisector model to explore the impact of varying levels of CO2 removal (1 to 10 gigatonnes CO2 per year) on the electricity sector by 2050 under 1.5 degrees C and 2 degrees C future warming. Our results show that under high CO2 removal pathways, up to 5% of electricity consumption could be dedicated to removing CO2. Limited CO2 removal by 2050 could increase asset stranding costs by US$165-225 billion in fossil-intensive countries like China, the US, and India. Also, a 15% additional mitigation of committed emissions in the power sector would be needed under constrained CO2 removal pathways. While a high CO2 removal future is key to alleviating the burden of power sector transformation, it carries the risk of increased committed emissions. Careful planning is required to balance a less disruptive transformation without compromising climate targets.
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页数:16
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