Evaluation of particulate organic carbon from MODIS-Aqua in a marine-coastal water body

La Paz Bay (LPB) in Mexico is one of the largest marine-coastal bodies of water in the Gulf of California (GC) and is ecologically important for the feeding, reproduction, and refuge of marine species. Although particulate organic carbon (POC) is an important reservoir of oceanic carbon and an indicator of productivity in the euphotic zone, studies in this region are scarce. This study evaluates the performance of satellite-derived POC in LPB from January 2003 to December 2020. The metrics obtained for COP (RMSE=33.8mgm-3; Pbias=29.6% yrP=0.4conp<0.05), Chla-a (RMSE=0.23mgm-3; Pbias=-4.3% yrP=0.94conp<0.05), and SST (RMSE=2.3∘C; Pbias=-2.2% yrP=0.92conp<0.05) establish that although in some cases there was a slight over/underestimation, the satellite estimates consistently represent the variability and average values measured in situ. On the other hand, the spatio-temporal analysis of the POC allowed us to identify two seasons with their respective transition periods and five subregions in which the POC is characterized by having its maximum variability; two of these coincide with the locations of the eddies reported for the winter and summer seasons in the LPB, while the following three are located: one in the coastal zone and in the two areas in which the LPB interacts with the GC. The associations, variability nodes, and multiple linear regression analysis suggest that POC fluctuations in the LPB respond mainly to biological processes and, to some extent, to the seasonality of SST and wind. Finally, our results justify the use of the MODIS-Aqua satellite POC for studies in marine-coastal water bodies with similar characteristics to the LPB and suggest that this water body can be considered a reservoir for the marine region of northwestern Mexico. © The Author(s), under exclusive licence to Springer-Verlag GmbH Germany, part of Springer Nature 2024.