Estimation and specification test for diffusion models with stochastic volatility

被引:0
|
作者
Lopez-Perez, A. [1 ]
Febrero-Bande, M. [1 ,2 ]
Gonzalez-Manteiga, W. [1 ,2 ]
机构
[1] Univ Santiago De Compostela, Dept Stat Math Anal & Optimizat, Rua Lope Gomez de Marzoa, Santiago De Compostela 15782, Spain
[2] Galician Ctr Math Res & Technol CITMAga, Rua Constantino Candeira S-N, Santiago De Compostela 15705, Spain
关键词
Diffusion processes; Goodness-of-fit; Stochastic differential equations; Stochastic volatility; GOODNESS-OF-FIT; MAXIMUM-LIKELIHOOD-ESTIMATION; CONTINUOUS-TIME MODELS; MONTE-CARLO METHODS; INTEGRATED VOLATILITY; BAYESIAN-INFERENCE; PARAMETRIC FORM; OPTIONS; VARIANCE; SIMULATION;
D O I
10.1007/s00362-024-01652-z
中图分类号
O21 [概率论与数理统计]; C8 [统计学];
学科分类号
020208 ; 070103 ; 0714 ;
摘要
Given the importance of continuous-time stochastic volatility models to describe the dynamics of interest rates, we propose a goodness-of-fit test for the parametric form of the drift and diffusion functions, based on a marked empirical process of the residuals built with an adapted Kalman Filter estimation. The test statistics are constructed using a continuous functional (Kolmogorov-Smirnov and Cr & aacute;mer-von Mises) over the empirical processes. Both, the different estimation procedures (including other alternatives as for example methods based on Markov Chain Monte Carlo or Particle filters) and the new proposed tests are compared in different simulation studies. The tests are calibrated with a specific bootstrap method using the estimation of a discrete version of the diffusion model with stochastic volatility. Finally, an application of the procedures to real data is provided.
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页数:36
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