STATISTICAL PREDICTABILITY OF CLIMATE TIME SERIES.

被引：0
|
作者：
机构：
来源：
Sov Meteorol Hydrol | 1986年 / 6卷 / 6-13期
关键词：
MATHEMATICAL MODELS - STATISTICAL METHODS - Time Series Analysis;
D O I：
暂无
中图分类号：
学科分类号：
摘要：
A theoretical study is made of first- and second-order autoregression/sliding mean (ARSM) models in all areas of their existence. Calculated a priori are normalized standards of forecasts with different lead times as a function of autocorrelations, which permits determination of the limits of predictability of climate time series. Approximations of such series by models of the signal plus noise type are discussed. Studied analytically are procedures for identifying the signal and constructing predictable climate statistics by means of space and time averaging of the implementations.
引用
收藏
相关论文
共 50 条
  • [21] Chaos and Predictability in Ionospheric Time Series
    Materassi, Massimo
    Alberti, Tommaso
    Migoya-Orue, Yenca
    Radicella, Sandro Maria
    Consolini, Giuseppe
    ENTROPY, 2023, 25 (02)
  • [22] Modelling aerobiological time series. Application to Urticaceae
    Belmonte J.
    Canela M.
    Aerobiologia, 2002, 18 (3-4) : 287 - 295
  • [23] DISCRIMINATION IN STATIONARY VECTOR GAUSSIAN TIME SERIES.
    Gersch, Will
    1600, IEEE, New York, NY
  • [24] Network self attention for forecasting time series.
    Hu, Yuntong
    Xiao, Fuyuan
    APPLIED SOFT COMPUTING, 2022, 124
  • [25] A general graduation formula for the smoothing of time series.
    Schumann, TEW
    PHILOSOPHICAL MAGAZINE, 1938, 26 (179): : 970 - 983
  • [26] STOCHASTIC STRUCTURE OF WATER USE TIME SERIES.
    Salas-La Cruz, Jose D.
    Yevjevich, Vujica
    Aufbereitungs-Technik, 1972, (52):
  • [27] A rapid method of correlation for continuous time series.
    Glock, WS
    AMERICAN JOURNAL OF SCIENCE, 1942, 240 (06) : 437 - 442
  • [28] SEQUENTIAL ESTIMATION OF PARAMETERS OF AUTOREGRESSIVE TIME SERIES.
    Uosaki, Katsuji
    Technology Reports of the Osaka University, 1979, 29 (1492-1516): : 309 - 317
  • [29] PROBABILISTIC MODEL OF AIR TEMPERATURE TIME SERIES.
    Marchenko, A.S.
    Minakova, L.A.
    Soviet meteorology and hydrology, 1980, (09): : 27 - 34
  • [30] Theoretical predictability and sample predictability of long-memory time series
    Wang, Wen
    Chen, Xi
    Xu, Wu-Cheng
    PROCEEDINGS OF THE 26TH IASTED INTERNATIONAL CONFERENCE ON MODELLING, IDENTIFICATION, AND CONTROL, 2007, : 351 - 356
12345