FUEL CONTRACTING UNDER UNCERTAINTY.

被引：0

作者：

Fancher, Richard B. ^{[1
]}

Wilson, James F. ^{[1
]}

Mueller, Howard A. ^{[1
]}

机构：

[1] Decision Focus Inc, Los Altos, CA,, USA, Decision Focus Inc, Los Altos, CA, USA

来源：

IEEE Transactions on Power Systems | 1986年 / PWRS-1卷 / 01期

关键词：

ELECTRIC UTILITIES - Economics - MATHEMATICAL STATISTICS - RISK STUDIES - Assessment;

D O I：

暂无

中图分类号：

学科分类号：

摘要：

Uncertainty about fuel requirements and fuel market conditions has made long-term utility fuel planning risky. A methodology is presented that explicitly incorporates uncertainty into the analysis of the fuel 'contract mix' problem. The approach allows utility analysts to optimize contract mix in the face of uncertainty, to identify and quantify risks, and to measure the value of fuel procurement flexibility.

引用

页码：26 / 33

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