Influence of large-scale ice disaster on transmission system reliability

被引：0
|
作者：
Wang, Jianxue [1 ]
Zhang, Yao [1 ]
Wu, Si [1 ]
Sun, Yu [1 ]
机构：
[1] School of Electrical Engineering, Xi'an Jiaotong University, Xi'an 710049, China
来源：
Zhongguo Dianji Gongcheng Xuebao/Proceedings of the Chinese Society of Electrical Engineering | 2011年 / 31卷 / 28期
关键词：
Disasters - Monte Carlo methods - Stochastic systems - Ice - Intelligent systems - Reliability - Wind - Curve fitting;
D O I：
暂无
中图分类号：
学科分类号：
摘要：
Large-scale ice disaster has various negative effects on transmission system reliability. According to the weather model, wind speed, rainfall rate and ice load of transmission lines were calculated. In order to analyze the variation of forced outage rate (FOR) in the ice disaster, the relation between ice load and FOR was obtained by curve fitting. For reflecting the stochastic failure of transmission components in the process of ice load increase, a new mixed Monte Carlo simulation method was presented. When components are in the normal state, state sampling is used to judge whether fault occurs on components. When components fail, state duration sampling is used to calculate repair duration time. Simulation of the IEEE RTS-79 system demonstrates that the proposed method is effective. This simulation result also shows that weather parameters and geographical environment may have great influence on transmission system reliability, especially weather moving speed and alignment of transmission lines. ©2011 Chinese Society for Electrical Engineering.
引用
收藏
页码：49 / 56
相关论文
共 50 条
  • [41] Using discrete simulation modeling to study large-scale system reliability/availability
    Chisman, JA
    COMPUTERS & OPERATIONS RESEARCH, 1998, 25 (03) : 169 - 174
  • [42] RELIABILITY-DESIGN OF A STANDBY SYSTEM BY A LARGE-SCALE MULTIOBJECTIVE OPTIMIZATION METHOD
    SAKAWA, M
    MICROELECTRONICS AND RELIABILITY, 1980, 20 (03): : 191 - 204
  • [43] LARGE-SCALE SYSTEM OPTIMIZATION
    OSTROVSKY, GM
    MIKHAILOVA, YM
    BEREZHINSKY, TA
    COMPUTERS & CHEMICAL ENGINEERING, 1986, 10 (02) : 123 - 128
  • [44] SOFTWARE AS A LARGE-SCALE SYSTEM
    SAGE, AP
    LARGE SCALE SYSTEMS IN INFORMATION AND DECISION TECHNOLOGIES, 1987, 12 (03): : 185 - 188
  • [45] Influence of Packaging Forms and Interconnection Structures on Thermal Fatigue Reliability of Large-Scale Packaging
    Jia, Rourou
    Zhou, Bin
    Chen, Si
    An, Tong
    Qin, Fei
    ICEPT2019: THE 2019 20TH INTERNATIONAL CONFERENCE ON ELECTRONIC PACKAGING TECHNOLOGY, 2019,
  • [46] Large-scale hull loading of sea ice, lake ice, and ice in Tuktoyaktuk Harbour
    Gagnon, RE
    Jones, SJ
    Frederking, R
    Spencer, PA
    Masterson, DM
    JOURNAL OF OFFSHORE MECHANICS AND ARCTIC ENGINEERING-TRANSACTIONS OF THE ASME, 2001, 123 (04): : 159 - 169
  • [47] LARGE-SCALE VOLCANO GROUND ICE INTERACTIONS ON MARS
    SQUYRES, SW
    WILHELMS, DE
    MOOSMAN, AC
    ICARUS, 1987, 70 (03) : 385 - 408
  • [48] ICE CRYSTALS AS TRACERS FOR LARGE-SCALE CIRCULATION STUDIES
    SARTOR, JD
    TRANSACTIONS-AMERICAN GEOPHYSICAL UNION, 1973, 54 (04): : 286 - 286
  • [49] LARGE-SCALE CHERENKOV DETECTORS IN OCEAN, ATMOSPHERE AND ICE
    MARKOV, MA
    ZHELEZNYKH, IM
    NUCLEAR INSTRUMENTS & METHODS IN PHYSICS RESEARCH SECTION A-ACCELERATORS SPECTROMETERS DETECTORS AND ASSOCIATED EQUIPMENT, 1986, 248 (01): : 242 - 251
  • [50] LARGE-SCALE NUMERICAL MODEL OF SEA ICE.
    Parkinson, Claire L.
    Washington, Warren M.
    Journal of Geophysical Research, 1979, 84 (C1): : 311 - 337
12345