Spatial electric load forecasting using an evolutionary heuristic

被引:3
|
作者
Carreno E.M. [1 ]
Padilha-Feltrin A. [1 ]
Leal A.G. [2 ]
机构
[1] Faculdade de Engenharia de Ilha Solteira, UNESP - Univ Estadual Paulista, Departamento de Engenharia Elétrica CP 31
[2] Elucid Solutions S/A, CEP 01228-904 São Paulo SP, Av. Angélica
来源
Controle y Automacao | 2010年 / 21卷 / 04期
关键词
Distribution planning; Knowledge extraction; Land use; Spatial electric load forecasting;
D O I
10.1590/S0103-17592010000400005
中图分类号
学科分类号
摘要
A method for spatial electric load forecasting using elements from evolutionary algorithms is presented. The method uses concepts from knowledge extraction algorithms and linguistic rules' representation to characterize the preferences for land use into a spatial database. The future land use preferences in undeveloped zones in the electrical utility service area are determined using an evolutionary heuristic, which considers a stochastic behavior by crossing over similar rules. The method considers development of new zones and also redevelopment of existing ones. The results are presented in future preference maps. The tests in a real system from a midsized city show a high rate of success when results are compared with information gathered from the utility planning department. The most important features of this method are the need for few data and the simplicity of the algorithm, allowing for future scalability.
引用
收藏
页码:379 / 388
页数:9
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