Research on the development prediction of combined heat and power industry in China

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作者
机构
[1] Wu, Yun-na
[2] Xu, Ru-hang
[3] Chen, Kai-feng
[4] Zhao, Lu
来源
Xu, R.-H. (sdxu8888@gmail.com) | 1600年 / Sila Science, University Mah Mekan Sok, No 24, Trabzon, Turkey卷 / 32期
关键词
Cluster analysis - Linear regression;
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摘要
As an important form of distributed energy sources, combined heat and power industry has a relatively long developing history in China. But the development speed accelerating started in only recent years thanks to the good development environment of new energy. The development environment of distributed energy is very complicated. An accurate prediction can only be done with complex analysis. This paper has studied relative energy industry index data of some OECD countries, which have similar histories of nowadays China, based on cluster analysis and BP ANN technology. Then the simulation is executed with the input of China's recent year index data. Finally, linear regression method is used to do prediction with the simulation result. The simulation result is compared with actual statistical record. The result shows that the booming phenomenon of combined heat and power industry in China is inflated to some extent, so the investors are suggested to hold a cautious attitude. The implement of key policies has to be followed closely. © Sila Science. All rights reserved.
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