On long-term predictions of the maximum sunspot numbers of solar cycles 21 to 23
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1600年
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EDP Sciences卷
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368期
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We have collected a set of predicted values of maximum sunspot numbers of solar cycles 22 and 23 published in the literature and examined the characteristics of predictions made by various methods. The precursor methods are found to be always superior to other prediction methods. The maximum sunspot number of solar cycle 23 is here inferred to be about 162.
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Chinese Acad Sci, Yunnan Observ, Kunming 650011, Peoples R China
Chinese Acad Sci, Natl Astron Observ, Key Lab Solar Act, Beijing 100012, Peoples R ChinaChinese Acad Sci, Yunnan Observ, Kunming 650011, Peoples R China
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Inst Nacl Pesquisas Espaciais, BR-12201970 Sao Jose Dos Campos, SP, BrazilInst Nacl Pesquisas Espaciais, BR-12201970 Sao Jose Dos Campos, SP, Brazil
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Institute of Terrestrial Magnetism, Ionosphere, and Radio Wave Propagation, Russian Academy of Sciences, MoscowInstitute of Terrestrial Magnetism, Ionosphere, and Radio Wave Propagation, Russian Academy of Sciences, Moscow
Yanke V.G.
Belov A.V.
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Institute of Terrestrial Magnetism, Ionosphere, and Radio Wave Propagation, Russian Academy of Sciences, MoscowInstitute of Terrestrial Magnetism, Ionosphere, and Radio Wave Propagation, Russian Academy of Sciences, Moscow
Belov A.V.
Gushchina R.T.
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Institute of Terrestrial Magnetism, Ionosphere, and Radio Wave Propagation, Russian Academy of Sciences, MoscowInstitute of Terrestrial Magnetism, Ionosphere, and Radio Wave Propagation, Russian Academy of Sciences, Moscow