Using artificial neural networks to forecast chaotic time series

被引:1
|
作者
De Oliveira, Kenya Andrésia [1 ]
机构
[1] Instituto de Fisica, Universidade de São Paulo, Caixa postal: 66318, CEP: 05315-970, São Paulo, SP, Brazil
关键词
Algorithms - Chaos theory - Computer simulation - Iterative methods - Mathematical techniques - Nonlinear control systems - Time series analysis;
D O I
暂无
中图分类号
学科分类号
摘要
Two-layer feedforward neural network was used in this work to forecast chaotic time series with very promising results, especially for the Lorenz system, as in comparison to others that had been previously published elsewhere. It was observed that the architecture m:2m:m:1, where m is the embedding dimension of the attractor of the dynamical system in consideration, is a very good initial guess for the process of finding the ideal architecture for the neural network, which is usually hard to achieve. The results we obtained with this particular type to series, and also with some others like Henon and Logistic maps, clearly indicate that there is an interplay between the architecture of a multilayer network and the embedding dimension m of the time series used. From the very good forecasting results we obtained, it can be concluded that neural networks can be considered to be an important tool for making predictions of the time evolution of nonlinear systems.
引用
收藏
页码:393 / 404
相关论文
共 50 条
  • [21] Financial Time Series Volatility Forecast Using Evolutionary Hybrid Artificial Neural Network
    Tarsauliya, Anupam
    Kala, Rahul
    Tiwari, Ritu
    Shukla, Anupam
    ADVANCES IN NETWORK SECURITY AND APPLICATIONS, 2011, 196 : 463 - 471
  • [22] Optimization of Artificial Neural Networks Based on Chaotic Time Series in Power Load Forecasting Model
    Wang, Yong-li
    Niu, Dong-xiao
    Liu, Jiang-yan
    ICNC 2008: FOURTH INTERNATIONAL CONFERENCE ON NATURAL COMPUTATION, VOL 2, PROCEEDINGS, 2008, : 106 - 110
  • [23] Analysis of Time Series with Artificial Neural Networks
    Gonzalez-Grimaldo, Raymundo A.
    Cuevas-Tello, Juan C.
    PROCEEDINGS OF THE SPECIAL SESSION OF THE SEVENTH MEXICAN INTERNATIONAL CONFERENCE ON ARTIFICIAL INTELLIGENCE - MICAI 2008, 2008, : 131 - 137
  • [24] Oil price forecast using artificial neural networks
    Pronóstico del precio del petróleo mediante redes neuronales artificiales
    1600, Centro de Informacion Tecnologica (25): : 145 - 154
  • [25] A Method for Estimating the Entropy of Time Series Using Artificial Neural Networks
    Velichko, Andrei
    Heidari, Hanif
    ENTROPY, 2021, 23 (11)
  • [26] Temporal Disaggregation of Economic Time Series using Artificial Neural Networks
    Zaier, L. Hedhili
    Abed, M.
    COMMUNICATIONS IN STATISTICS-THEORY AND METHODS, 2014, 43 (08) : 1824 - 1833
  • [27] Multiple neural networks for a long term time series forecast
    Nguyen, HH
    Chan, CW
    NEURAL COMPUTING & APPLICATIONS, 2004, 13 (01): : 90 - 98
  • [28] Time series forecast with elman neural networks and genetic algorithms
    Xu, LX
    Dong, ZY
    Tay, A
    Recent Advances in Simulated Evolution and Learning, 2004, 2 : 747 - 768
  • [29] Multiple neural networks for a long term time series forecast
    Hanh H. Nguyen
    Christine W. Chan
    Neural Computing & Applications, 2004, 13 : 90 - 98
  • [30] FIR neural networks adaptive prediction of chaotic time series
    Yin, Li-sheng
    Huang, Xi-yue
    Xiang, Chang-cheng
    DYNAMICS OF CONTINUOUS DISCRETE AND IMPULSIVE SYSTEMS-SERIES A-MATHEMATICAL ANALYSIS, 2006, 13 : 887 - 890