Network Security Prediction and Situational Assessment Using Neural Network-based Method

Technology development has promoted network construction, but malicious network attacks are still inevitable. To solve the problem that the current network security assessment is not practical and the assessment effect is poor, this study proposes a network security monitoring tool based on situation assessment and prediction to assist network security construction. The framework of the evaluation module is based on convolution neural network. The initial module is introduced to convert some large convolution cores into small convolution cores in series. This is to reduce the operating cost, because building multiple evaluators in series can maximize the retention of characteristic values. This module is the optimized form of Elman neural network. The delay operator is added to the model to respond to the time property of network attack. At the same time, particle swarm optimization algorithm is used to solve the initial weight dependence problem. The research adopts two methods of security situation assessment and situation prediction to carry out model application test. During the test, the commonly used KDD Cup99 is used as intrusion detection data. The experimental results of the network security situation evaluation module show that the optimization reduces the evaluation error by 3.34%, and the accuracy meets the evaluation requirements. The model is superior to the back propagation neural network and the standard Elman model. The model proposed in this study achieves better prediction of posture scores from 0.3 to 0.9, which is more stable than BP neural network. It proves that the model designed by the research can achieve more stable and higher prediction than similar models. It is more practical to obtain better results on the basis of a more stable model architecture and lower implementation costs, which is a meaningful attempt in the wide application of network security. © 2023 River Publishers.