Analysis Method of Landslide Early Warning and Prediction Supported by Ground-Based SAR Technology

被引:0
|
作者
Qin H. [1 ]
Ma H. [1 ]
Yu Z. [1 ]
机构
[1] China Academy of Safety Science and Technology, Beijing
关键词
Early warning; Ground-based SAR; Landslide; Prediction; Stability fast convergence method;
D O I
10.13203/j.whugis20200268
中图分类号
学科分类号
摘要
Objectives: Landslide early warning and prediction is the key and difficult problem in landslide dynamic disaster research. The timeliness and accuracy of early warning are two key indicators to evaluate the effect of landslide early warning and prediction. Methods: Remote sensing monitoring is an important technology for landslide disaster prevention and control. Ground-based SAR(synthetic aperture radar)provides an advanced technology for remote sensing monitoring of landslides in short distance, and provides a wealth of data sources for accurate positioning of landslides, delineating the scale of landslides, analysing and judging the risk of landslides and predicting the time of landslides. Based on the classic three-stage theory of slope deformation evolution, we adopt the monitoring data of ground-based SAR, which has the characteristics of near real-time, coverage monitoring area and surface deformation information. Combined with the characteristics of the short period, high density and surface coverage of slope monitoring data, a dual index landslide early warning method based on deformation speed and deformation area is proposed. According to the negative correlation between deformation velocity time series curve and slope stability, we put forward the processing methods of velocity inversion, de-limit and unequal period smooth processing, and establish the landslide prediction model with fast convergence of stability. Results: The landslide early warning method with double indexes of deformation velocity and deformation area can effectively improve the accuracy rate of landslide warning, and then the accuracy of landslide prediction can be effectively improved by taking the reciprocal of velocity, removing the limit value and unequal period smoothing treatment. Different periods of data processing methods have their own applicability, short processing cycle processing data curve, the prediction of landslide occurrence time is more accurate, the prediction of landslide occurrence time is late, long processing cycle is opposite. Conclusions: Through the field practice and application of the open pit slope, it shows that the early warning and prediction method has strong practicality and accurate prediction results. © 2020, Editorial Board of Geomatics and Information Science of Wuhan University. All right reserved.
引用
收藏
页码:1697 / 1706
页数:9
相关论文
共 17 条
  • [11] Rose N D, Hungr O., Forecasting Potential Rock Slope Failure in Open Pit Mines Using the Inverse-Velocity Method, International Journal of Rock Mechanics, 44, 2, pp. 308-320, (2007)
  • [12] Crosta G B, Agliardi F., How to Obtain Alert Velocity Thresholds for Large Rock Slides[J], Physics Chemistry of the Earth Parts, 27, 36, pp. 1557-1565, (2002)
  • [13] Ji K H, Herring T A, Lenos A L., Near Real-Time Monitoring of Volcanic Surface Deformation from GPS Measurements at Long Valley Caldera, California[J], Geophysical Research Letters, 40, pp. 1054-1058, (2013)
  • [14] Tu R, Wang R, Ge M, Et al., Cost Effective Monitoring of Ground Motion Related to Earthquakes, Landslides, or Volcanic Activity by Joint Use of a Single-Frequency GPS and a MEMS Accelerometer[J], Geophysical Research Letters, 40, pp. 3825-3829, (2013)
  • [15] Ge Daqing, Dai Keren, Guo Zhaocheng, Et al., Early Identification of Serious Geological Hazards with Integrated Remote Sensing Technologies: Thoughts and Recommendations, Geomatics and Information Science of Wuhan University, 44, 7, pp. 949-956, (2019)
  • [16] Li Zhenhong, Song Chuang, Chen Yu, Et al., Application of Satellite Radar Remote Sensing to Landslide Detection and Monitoring: Challenges and Solutions, Geomatics and Information Science of Wuhan University, 44, 7, pp. 967-979, (2019)
  • [17] Qin Siqing, Wang Sijing, Advances in Research on Nonlinear Evolutionary Mechanism and Process of Instabilization of Planar-Slip Slope, Earth and Environment, 33, 3, pp. 75-82, (2005)