Optimization of Bi-LSTM Photovoltaic Power Prediction Based on Improved Snow Ablation Optimization Algorithm

被引:3
|
作者
Wu, Yuhan [1 ]
Xiang, Chun [2 ]
Qian, Heng [2 ]
Zhou, Peijian [1 ]
机构
[1] China Jiliang Univ, Coll Metrol Measurement & Instrument, Hangzhou 310018, Peoples R China
[2] Zhejiang Univ Water Resources & Elect Power, Sch Mech Engn, Hangzhou 310018, Peoples R China
关键词
photovoltaic power generation; power prediction; improved snow ablation algorithm; bi-directional long short-term memory; hyper-parameter optimization;
D O I
10.3390/en17174434
中图分类号
TE [石油、天然气工业]; TK [能源与动力工程];
学科分类号
0807 ; 0820 ;
摘要
To enhance the stability of photovoltaic power grid integration and improve power prediction accuracy, a photovoltaic power prediction method based on an improved snow ablation optimization algorithm (Good Point and Vibration Snow Ablation Optimizer, GVSAO) and Bi-directional Long Short-Term Memory (Bi-LSTM) network is proposed. Weather data is divided into three typical categories using K-means clustering, and data normalization is performed using the minmax method. The key structural parameters of Bi-LSTM, such as the feature dimension at each time step and the number of hidden units in each LSTM layer, are optimized based on the Good Point and Vibration strategy. A prediction model is constructed based on GVSAO-Bi-LSTM, and typical test functions are selected to analyze and evaluate the improved model. The research results show that the average absolute percentage error of the GVSAO-Bi-LSTM prediction model under sunny, cloudy, and rainy weather conditions are 4.75%, 5.41%, and 14.37%, respectively. Compared with other methods, the prediction results of this model are more accurate, verifying its effectiveness.
引用
收藏
页数:21
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