Age-dependent Sagittal Plane Remodeling of Pediatric Supracondylar Fractures

Background: Current treatment guidelines for pediatric supracondylar fractures have not fully accounted for age-related variations in the remodeling potential. This study aimed to explore age-dependent sagittal plane remodeling in supracondylar fractures by assessing cases with residual deformities after treatment. Methods: This study included 62 patients under 16 years of age treated for supracondylar fractures at our institution from 2002 to 2022. The distance between the posterior and anterior aspects of the capitellar ossific nucleus (CON) was defined as the CON size, while the distance from the anterior humeral line to the posterior aspect of CON was termed DAP-CON. The value obtained by subtracting the DAP-CON on the unfractured side from the DAP-CON on the fractured side was divided by the CON size and multiplied by 100 and termed the displacement of CON (d-CON). The absolute value of the difference between d-CON after intervention and d-CON at the last follow-up was denoted as sagittal plane remodeling. Results: For this patient cohort, the mean age was 5.5 years (range, 1.4 to 14.6 years), and the mean follow-up period was 30.4 months (range, 12.0 to 137.1 months). Sagittal plane remodeling was more pronounced in children younger than 5 years (group I) compared with those older (group II) ( P <0.001). In multiple regression analysis, only age at the time of injury was found to be a significant variable ( P <0.001). The receiver operating characteristic curve analysis identified 4.2 years as the cutoff age for predicting >33% sagittal plane remodeling, with an area under the curve of 0.975. Conclusions: Children below the age of 5 years exhibit sagittal plane remodeling, with a cutoff age identified at 4.2 years for achieving >33% of d-CON. This indicates that mild deformities (16.5%<d-CON <= 33%) can be expected to be fully remodeled before the age of 4.2 years, suggesting that the patient's age needs to be considered in the treatment guidelines.