Complete Response to Locoregional Therapy Plus Immunotherapy for Hepatocellular Carcinoma

Importance Previous studies showed that 42% to 50% of patients with locally advanced hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) achieved complete remission (CR) after combined locoregional therapy (LRT) plus immunotherapy (IO). However, data on predictors of CR and long-term clinical outcomes without surgery and after discontinuation of IO are lacking. Objective To assess the long-term clinical outcomes among patients with unresectable HCC who achieved CR after LRT-IO and were placed on a watch-and-wait protocol. Design, Setting, and Participants This cohort study included patients with unresectable HCC who achieved CR after LRT-IO in 2 prospective studies between January 2018 and December 2022. The time of data cutoff was June 2023. Radiologic CR was defined per modified Response Evaluation Criteria in Solid Tumors. All patients underwent close surveillance after CR without surgical interventions, and IO was discontinued. Exposure All patients had received stereotactic body radiotherapy followed by anti-programmed cell death protein 1 or anti-programmed death ligand 1 therapy. Forty-nine patients had received a dose of transarterial chemoembolization before stereotactic body radiotherapy. Main Outcomes and Measures The primary outcome was the 3-year overall survival (OS) rate. Secondary outcomes included the 3-year time-to-progression rate, 3-year local control rate, and relapse pattern. Factors associated with CR were analyzed using multivariate analyses. Results A total of 63 patients were enrolled (58 male [92.1%]; median age, 69 years [range, 18-90 years]); 38 patients (60.3%) had macrovascular invasion, and the median tumor diameter was 10 cm (range, 3.8-31.1 cm). The median follow-up time was 34.7 months (95% CI, 6.5-64.6 months). Twenty-nine patients (46.0%) achieved CR. The patients achieving CR had a significantly better 3-year OS rate than patients not achieving CR (75.5% [95% CI, 58.2%-98.3%] vs 28.1% [95% CI, 7.4%-29.4%]; P < .001). Among the 29 patients with CR, the 3-year time-to-progression rate was 58.7% (95% CI, 38.7%-79.1%) and the 3-year local control rate was 90.5% (95% CI, 78.2%-100%). Ten patients (34.5%) developed recurrence; among them, 6 (60.0%) with solitary intrahepatic disease relapse underwent curative surgical treatment. The absence of tumor vascular invasion (odds ratio, 0.30; 95% CI, 0.10-0.89) and the sum of the largest lesion diameters of 8 cm or less (odds ratio, 0.26; 95% CI, 0.07-0.98) were associated with CR. Conclusions and Relevance This cohort study of LRT-IO with long-term follow-up data found a durable response in patients with locally advanced unresectable HCC. Long-term survival was attainable in patients with radiologic CR. Further randomized clinical trials are warranted.