Spatio-temporal variations of habitat quality and its driving factors in the Yangtze River Delta region of China

Global biodiversity is still being lost at an alarming rate. How to slow the destruction of habitats to protect biodiversity is an urgent issue. As one of the most rapidly developing and active economic regions in China, the habitat quality assessment and impact factor analysis in the Yangtze River Delta region are important for promoting socio-economic development and improving the local ecological environment. The InVEST mode and Geodetector method was used to explore the spatial and temporal variations of the habitat quality and its driving factors in the Yangtze River Delta region. The results show that the averaged habitat quality index showed a decreasing trend during 1980-2020, which accounted about 71.86 % of the Yangtze River Delta region. The habitat quality showed an overall spatial pattern of high in the south and low in the north, and the regional distribution of low habitat quality was dominated. The Moran's I values were larger than 0.8 during 1980-2020, showing a significant positive spatial correlation and a high degree of spatial clustering. The high-high clusters of habitat quality were mainly located in the southwest of the study area, while the low-low clusters were mainly located in the north. During 2025-2060, the habitat quality under the three scenarios exhibited SSP1-RCP19 > SSP2RCP45 > SSP5-RCP85 and all showed a trend of decreasing in the north of the study area and increasing in the south. Under the two scenarios SSP1-RCP19 and SSP2-RCP45, the habitat quality generally showed an increasing trend, while under the SSP5-RCP85 scenario, it showed a decreasing trend. The slope, DEM, precipitation, construction land index and their interactions played a dominant role in the spatio-temporal variations of the habitat quality. Therefore, the slope, DEM, precipitation and construction land index should be considered when formulating habitat quality protection countermeasures.