Climate change and winter wheat yields: the roles of freezing days and long-run adaptations

被引：0
|
作者：
Da, Yabin [1 ]
Xu, Yangyang [2 ]
Yi, Fujin [3 ,4 ]
McCarl, Bruce [5 ]
机构：
[1] Renmin Univ China, Sch Agr Econ & Rural Dev, Beijing 100872, Peoples R China
[2] Texas A&M Univ, Dept Atmospher Sci, College Stn, TX 77843 USA
[3] Zhejiang Univ, China Acad Rural Dev, Hangzhou 310058, Peoples R China
[4] Zhejiang Univ, Sch Publ Affairs, Hangzhou 310058, Peoples R China
[5] Texas A&M Univ, Dept Agr Econ, College Stn, TX 77843 USA
来源：
EUROPEAN REVIEW OF AGRICULTURAL ECONOMICS | 2024年 / 51卷 / 03期
基金：
中国国家自然科学基金; 比尔及梅琳达.盖茨基金会;
关键词：
climate change; winter wheat yield; freezing days; long-run adaptations; NORTH CHINA PLAIN; ECONOMIC-IMPACTS; CROP PRODUCTION; TEMPERATURE; AGRICULTURE; WEATHER; GROWTH; PRODUCTIVITY; CULTIVARS; STRESS;
D O I：
10.1093/erae/jbae015
中图分类号：
F3 [农业经济];
学科分类号：
0202 ; 020205 ; 1203 ;
摘要：
This paper employs the recently proposed climate penalty model to estimate season-specific climate change impacts on Chinese winter wheat yields and also reveals the effects of long-run adaptions by comparing the short-run and long-run estimates identified from the model. We find that Spring freezing days are critical as we estimate small yield gains when considering a reduction in the number of freezing days (induced by global warming), as opposed to large yield losses when such effects are omitted. We also find substantial influences of adaptation effects that could reverse the sign of climate change impacts.
引用
收藏
页码：815 / 843
页数：29
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