Depression and the Risk of Dementia and All-Cause Mortality Among Japanese Older Adults: A 9-Year Longitudinal Study From JAGES

Background This study aims to investigate the association and dose-response relationship between depression, dementia, and all-cause mortality based on a national cohort study of older adults in Japan. Methods We conducted a longitudinal study of 44,546 participants >= 65 years from 2010-2019 Japanese Gerontological Evaluation Study. The Geriatric Depression Scale-15 was used to assess depressive symptoms and the long-term care insurance was used to assess dementia. Fine-Gray models and Cox proportional hazard models were used to explore the effect of depression severity on the incidence of dementia and all-cause mortality, respectively. Causal mediation analysis were used to explore the extent of association between dementia-mediated depression and all-cause mortality. Results We found that both minor and major depressive symptoms were associated with the increased cumulative incidence of dementia and all-cause mortality, especially major depressive symptoms (p < .001). The multivariable-adjusted hazard ratios (HRs) and 95% confidence intervals (CIs) for dementia were 1.25 (1.19-1.32) for minor depressive symptoms and 1.42 (1.30-1.54) for major depressive symptoms in comparison to non-depression; p for trend < .001. The multivariable-adjusted HRs and 95% CIs for all-cause mortality were 1.27 (1.21-1.33) for minor depressive symptoms and 1.51 (1.41-1.62) for major depressive symptoms in comparison to non-depression; p for trend < .001. Depression has a stronger impact on dementia and all-cause mortality among the younger group. In addition, dementia significantly mediated the association between depression and all-cause mortality. Discussion Interventions targeting major depression may be an effective strategy for preventing dementia and premature death.