A new bi-level model for the false data injection attack on real-time electricity market considering uncertainties

State Estimation (SE) plays a critical role in various applications of power systems including the electricity market. False Data Injection Attacks (FDIAs) are capable of manipulating the power system SE process aiming to gain financial profits by the players. In this paper, the potential economic influences of FDIA on SE and consequently the Real-Time (RT) electricity market are examined. Therefore, a new bi-level optimization framework is proposed to realistically model the FDIAs from the attacker perspective. At the upper-level, the attacker intends to intelligently choose the most critical congested transmission lines and manipulate their associated meter readings to maximize the expected financial profitability. At the lower-level, the RT marketclearing model is formulated under the influence of FDIA. Considering the incomplete attacker's prior knowledge of the network topology i.e., connection/disconnection of transmission lines, the angles of the phase-shifting transformers, and the real-time load uncertainty, the proposed formulation is extended to a new bi-level scenario-driven stochastic model. The developed attack model, which must remain undetectable by the system operator in all scenarios, is solved using the Karush-Kuhn-Tucker (KKT) approach. The correctness and effectiveness of the proposed optimization scheme have been validated in GAMS software using CONOPT and OQNLP solvers based on the IEEE 14-bus test system and also comparative results are presented to demonstrate the merits of the proposed formulation.