A long sequence time-series forecasting model for ship motion attitude based on informer

Influenced by marine environmental factors, a ship sailing at sea will experience six degrees of freedom oscillating motions. These oscillating motions pose safety risks to ship navigation and maritime operations. Especially in severe weather conditions, these oscillating motions have a significant impact on the takeoff and landing of carrier aircraft, as well as the launch of carrier missiles. Therefore, studying and forecasting the ship motion attitude in wind and waves holds immense significance. This paper presents a sparrow search algorithm (SSA) optimized Informer model based on complete ensemble empirical mode decomposition with adaptive noise (CEEMDAN) to forecast the long sequence time -series of ship motion attitude. Firstly, the ship motion attitude time series, as measured by the inertial navigation system, is decomposed using CEEMDAN to obtain several intrinsic mode functions (IMFs) and a residual. Then, the IMFs and residual are fed into SSA-Informer, where SSA is used to optimize the hyperparameter of Informer. Finally, the forecast values of IMFs and residual are superimposed and reconstructed to get the ship motion attitude forecasting result. The forecasting experiment under slight, moderate and rough sea conditions in the East China Sea shows that the proposed model achieves better performance and longer forecasting time compared with other popular methods.