Assessment of Background Parenchymal Enhancement at Dynamic Contrast-enhanced MRI in Predicting Breast Cancer Recurrence Risk

Background: Background parenchymal enhancement (BPE) at dynamic contrast-enhanced (DCE) MRI of cancer-free breasts increases the risk of developing breast cancer; implications of quantitative BPE in ipsilateral breasts with breast cancer are largely unexplored. Purpose: To determine whether quantitative BPE measurements in one or both breasts could be used to predict recurrence risk in women with breast cancer, using the Oncotype DX recurrence score as the reference standard. Materials and Methods: This HIPAA-compliant retrospective single-institution study included women diagnosed with breast cancer between January 2007 and January 2012 (development set) and between January 2012 and January 2017 (internal test set). Quantitative BPE was automatically computed using an in-house-developed computer algorithm in both breasts. Univariable logistic regression was used to examine the association of BPE with Oncotype DX recurrence score binarized into high-risk (recurrence score >25) and low- or intermediate-risk (recurrence score <= 25) categories. Models including BPE measures were assessed for their ability to distinguish patients with high risk versus those with low or intermediate risk and the actual recurrence outcome. Results: The development set included 127 women (mean age, 58 years +/- 10.2 [SD]; 33 with high risk and 94 with low or intermediate risk) with an actual local or distant recurrence rate of 15.7% (20 of 127) at a minimum 10 years of follow-up. The test set included 60 women (mean age, 57.8 years +/- 11.6; 16 with high risk and 44 with low or intermediate risk). BPE measurements quantified in both breasts were associated with increased odds of a high-risk Oncotype DX recurrence score (odds ratio range, 1.27-1.66 [95% CI: 1.02, 2.56]; P < .001 to P = .04). Measures of BPE combined with tumor radiomics helped distinguish patients with a high-risk Oncotype DX recurrence score from those with a low- or intermediate-risk score, with an area under the receiver operating characteristic curve of 0.94 in the development set and 0.79 in the test set. For the combined models, the negative predictive values were 0.97 and 0.93 in predicting actual distant recurrence and local recurrence, respectively. Conclusion: Ipsilateral and contralateral DCE MRI measures of BPE quantified in patients with breast cancer can help distinguish patients with high recurrence risk from those with low or intermediate recurrence risk, similar to Oncotype DX recurrence score.