Changes in Stratospheric Dynamics Simulated by the EC-Earth Model From CMIP5 to CMIP6

被引:0
|
作者
Serva, F. [1 ]
Christiansen, B. [2 ]
Davini, P. [3 ]
von Hardenberg, J. [3 ,4 ]
van den Oord, G. [5 ]
Reerink, T. J. [6 ]
Wyser, K. [7 ]
Yang, S. [2 ]
机构
[1] Inst Marine Sci CNR ISMAR, Consiglio Nazl Ric, Rome, Italy
[2] Danish Meteorol Inst DMI, Copenhagen, Denmark
[3] Inst Atmospher Sci & Climate CNR ISAC, Consiglio Nazl Ric, Turin, Italy
[4] Politecn Torino, Turin, Italy
[5] Netherlands Esci Ctr, Amsterdam, Netherlands
[6] Royal Netherlands Meteorol Inst KNMI, De Bilt, Netherlands
[7] Swedish Meteorol & Hydrol Inst SMHI, Norrkoping, Sweden
关键词
stratosphere; DynVarMIP; CMIP6; BREWER-DOBSON CIRCULATION; QUASI-BIENNIAL OSCILLATION; GRAVITY-WAVE DRAG; INTERANNUAL VARIABILITY; CLIMATE SENSITIVITY; MOMENTUM BUDGET; SURFACE IMPACTS; TROPOSPHERE; RESOLUTION; EQUATORIAL;
D O I
10.1029/2023MS003756
中图分类号
P4 [大气科学(气象学)];
学科分类号
0706 ; 070601 ;
摘要
The simulated stratospheric dynamics have been improved compared to previous generations in many climate models taking part in the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project Phase 6 (CMIP6). This was achieved by going from low to high-top configurations, that is, increasing the atmospheric vertical resolution, raising the model lid height and including parameterization schemes, such as non-orographic gravity wave drag (GWD), to simulate small-scale processes. This also applies to the EC-Earth model, for which comprehensive analysis is now possible thanks to outputs archived within the Dynamics and Variability Model Intercomparison Project (DynVarMIP). Here we analyze atmosphere-only simulations and evaluate the stratospheric dynamics of low-top CMIP5 and high-top CMIP6 configurations of EC-Earth against the MERRA-2 and ERA5 reanalyses. This allows us to identify and interpret model biases in the atmospheric component and to highlight deficiencies needed to be addressed in future model versions. We find substantial improvements in the simulation of the stratosphere in the CMIP6 configuration, both in the tropical and extratropical regions. The zonal wind momentum budget in the tropical stratosphere is much improved in the high-top configuration. Seasonal variability of both models is qualitatively similar to the reanalysis, but for the low-top model this is likely due to compensating errors, as its intraseasonal variability is less realistic. The non-orographic GWD forcing is weak in the high-top model and this limits the realism of the tropical stratosphere variability. We point to persisting issues in the stratosphere of EC-Earth that should be tackled to improve hemispheric-scale circulation and variability. A realistic representation of the stratosphere in climate models is important since changes in this layer of the atmosphere have significant impacts on surface weather and climate. Current models are able to simulate this region but they often struggle to represent it realistically, mostly due to computational limitations and overly simplified process representation. In this work we document how the simulation of the stratosphere has improved in the EC-Earth model between phase 5 and 6 of the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project (CMIP). This analysis is facilitated by the availability of outputs prepared for these simulations and two recent reanalysis products, which we use as reference. We find substantial changes between the two model versions, with the CMIP6 configuration in better agreement with reanalysis results. The extended diagnostics help us by indicating possible developments to improve the fidelity of the model. We evaluate the stratospheric dynamics of CMIP5 and CMIP6 versions of the EC-Earth model Simulation of the stratosphere is in better agreement with reanalyses in the EC-Earth CMIP6 configuration Biases in the upper atmosphere of the CMIP6 model version are quantified with DynVarMIP diagnostics
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页数:18
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