Machine learning-based spatial downscaling and bias-correction framework for high-resolution temperature forecasting

被引:0
|
作者
Meng, Xiangrui [1 ]
Zhao, Huan [2 ]
Shu, Ting [3 ]
Zhao, Junhua [1 ]
Wan, Qilin [4 ]
机构
[1] Chinese Univ Hong Kong, Sch Sci & Engn, Shenzhen 518172, Guangdong, Peoples R China
[2] Hong Kong Polytech Univ, Dept Elect & Elect Engn, Hung Hom, Kowloon, Hong Kong, Peoples R China
[3] Shenzhen Inst Meteorol Innovat, Shennan Blvd, Shenzhen 518038, Guangdong, Peoples R China
[4] China Meteorol Adm, Guangzhou Inst Trop & Marine Meteorol, Dongguanzhuang Rd, Guangzhou 510641, Guangdong, Peoples R China
基金
中国国家自然科学基金;
关键词
Machine learning; Temperature forecasting; Spatial downscaling; Bias correction; Channel attention; DEEP; PREDICTION;
D O I
10.1007/s10489-024-05504-z
中图分类号
TP18 [人工智能理论];
学科分类号
081104 ; 0812 ; 0835 ; 1405 ;
摘要
High-resolution temperature forecasting plays a crucial role in various applications such as climate impact assessment, hydrological modeling, and localized weather forecasting. The existing low-resolution forecast data may not accurately capture the fine-grained temperature patterns required for localized predictions. These forecasts may contain biases that need to be corrected for accurate results. Therefore, there is a need for an effective framework that can downscale low-resolution forecast data and correct biases to generate high-resolution temperature forecasts. The paper proposes a machine learning-based spatial downscaling and bias-correction framework for high-resolution temperature forecasting. The framework utilizes low-resolution forecast data from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and real-time 1km analysis product data from the National Meteorological Administration, to generate high-resolution 1km forecast temperature data. The framework consists of four modules: data acquisition module, data preprocessing module, downscaling and correction model module, and post-processing and visualization module. Through experiments, it demonstrated that the framework has superior performance and potential in meteorological data downscaling and correction and can be used to achieve real-time high-resolution temperature forecasting, which has important significance for various applications such as climate impact assessment, hydrological modeling, and localized weather forecasting.
引用
收藏
页码:8399 / 8414
页数:16
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