Differentiating between benign and malignant breast lesions using dual-energy CT-based model: development and validation

Objectives To develop and validate a dual-energy CT (DECT)-based model for noninvasively differentiating between benign and malignant breast lesions detected on DECT. Materials and methods This study prospectively enrolled patients with suspected breast cancer who underwent dual-phase contrast-enhanced DECT from July 2022 to July 2023. Breast lesions were randomly divided into the training and test cohorts at a ratio of 7:3. Clinical characteristics, DECT-based morphological features, and DECT quantitative parameters were collected. Univariate analyses and multivariate logistic regression were performed to determine independent predictors of benign and malignant breast lesions. An individualized model was constructed. Receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve analysis was performed to evaluate the diagnostic ability of the model, whose calibration and clinical usefulness were assessed by calibration curve and decision curve analysis. Results This study included 200 patients (mean age, 49.9 +/- 11.9 years; age range, 22-83 years) with 222 breast lesions. Age, lesion shape, and the effective atomic number (Zeff) in the venous phase were significant independent predictors of breast lesions (all p < 0.05). The discriminative power of the model incorporating these three factors was high, with AUCs of 0.844 (95%CI 0.764-0.925) and 0.791 (95% CI 0.647-0.935) in the training and test cohorts, respectively. The constructed model showed a preferable fitting (all p > 0.05 by the Hosmer-Lemeshow test) and provided enhanced net benefits than simple default strategies within a wide range of threshold probabilities in both cohorts. Conclusion The DECT-based model showed a favorable diagnostic performance for noninvasive differentiation between benign and malignant breast lesions detected on DECT. Critical relevance statement The combination of clinical and morphological characteristics and DECT-derived parameter have the potential to identify benign and malignant breast lesions and it may be useful for incidental breast lesions on DECT to decide if further work-up is needed.