Demand analysis and forecast for piggyback transportation in China

For piggyback transportation is still in the stage of theoretical and practical exploration in China, so there is no historical transport volume data. The refore, according to the theory and practice of the piggyback transportation development in foreign countries and the investigation and analysis of the demand of piggyback transportation, the analysis of the flow direction, velocity, volume, distance, cargo and price of the components of transportation demand were made based on the theory of Transport Economics. And the piggyback transportation demand in China was forecasted by output coefficient, exponential smoothing method and proportion method with the idea of classified forecasting, which is about(1.54~1.93) million tons in 2020 and shows that piggyback transportation has a certain development prospect in the market of China. Simultaneously, the results of different lines and directions can be used to provide support for the network layout, innovation of operating model, transport organization plan design, pricing and benefit evaluation of piggyback transportation in China. © 2020, Central South University Press. All rights reserved.