TEMPERATURE PREDICTIONS FOR THE UK WINTER

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作者：
HEWSON, TD
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来源：
METEOROLOGICAL MAGAZINE | 1991年 / 120卷 / 1422期
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中图分类号：
P4 [大气科学（气象学）];
学科分类号：
0706 ; 070601 ;
摘要：
The suggestion that the shape of the late autumn circumpolar vortex can be used to forecast UK winter temperatures is discussed and a simple mathematical predictor proposed. This predictor is assessed using correlation tests on a 44-year data set; investigating also the predictability of individual months and the value of different predictor periods. A simulation of real-time forecasts suggests that useful skill could have been achieved.
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页码：1 / 11
页数：11
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