The different scenarios of climate change

被引：0
|
作者：
Deque, Michel [1 ]
机构：
[1] CNRS GAME, Ctr Natl Rech Meteorol, 42 Av Coriolis, F-31057 Toulouse, France
来源：
OCL-OILSEEDS AND FATS CROPS AND LIPIDS | 2008年 / 15卷 / 05期
关键词：
climate change; numerical modelling; greenhouse effect; France; scenario; atmosphere;
D O I：
10.1051/ocl.2008.0220
中图分类号：
S3 [农学（农艺学）];
学科分类号：
0901 ;
摘要：
The assumption of a climate change along the 21st century is now widely accepted : the world population and consumption growth will lead to an increase in greenhouse effect. In order to explore possible evolutions in agreement with the laws of physics, numerical modeling is the most appropriate tool. ARPEGE-Climate is the atmospheric model of the French meteorological service. It has been run over the 21st century to simulate possible evolutions under three hypotheses of increase in greenhouse gas and aerosol concentration. This model covers the globe with a rather high resolution over southern Europe (50 km). The results show a larger warming in summer than in winter and a spatially variable response for precipitation.
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页数：4
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