A PROBABILITY DENSITY MODEL FOR HOURLY TOTAL AND BEAM IRRADIANCE ON ARBITRARILY ORIENTATED PLANES

被引:25
|
作者
OLSETH, JA [1 ]
SKARTVEIT, A [1 ]
机构
[1] NORWEGIAN METEOROL INST,OSLO,NORWAY
关键词
PROBABILITY;
D O I
10.1016/S0038-092X(87)80020-8
中图分类号
TE [石油、天然气工业]; TK [能源与动力工程];
学科分类号
0807 ; 0820 ;
摘要
An analytical and adjustable model is proposed, by which the probability density of hourly global irradiance may be derived from long-term mean global irradiation. The model explicitly accounts for the bimodal character of the probability density of solar irradiance, and it is tuned to a developmental data sample and verified against an independent data base. In combination with previously published deterministic models this probability density model even forms a composite model which yields the probability density of hourly irradiance (total, beam or diffuse) on arbitrarily orientated planes. This composite model is also verified against the independent data base.
引用
收藏
页码:343 / 351
页数:9
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