Recent studies conclude that the stock market's dividend yield and earnings/price ratio can predict long-horizon stock returns. The authors advocate a model of the market risk premium as a more consistent predictor of future S&P returns than either dividend yield or earnings/price ratio. They conclude that the market risk premium predicts long-horizon stock returns best because it mirrors movement in the unobservable market risk premium.
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Texas A&M Univ, Mays Business Sch, Mkt, College Stn, TX 77843 USATexas A&M Univ, Mays Business Sch, Mkt, College Stn, TX 77843 USA
Sorescu, Alina
Sorescu, Sorin M.
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Texas A&M Univ, Investment Advising, College Stn, TX 77843 USA
Texas A&M Univ, Mays Business Sch, Finance, College Stn, TX 77843 USATexas A&M Univ, Mays Business Sch, Mkt, College Stn, TX 77843 USA
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Korea Adv Sci & Technol KAIST, Coll Business, Daejeon, South KoreaKorea Adv Sci & Technol KAIST, Coll Business, Daejeon, South Korea
Bae, Jaewan
Kang, Jangkoo
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Korea Adv Sci & Technol KAIST, Coll Business, 85 Hoegiro, Seoul 02455, South KoreaKorea Adv Sci & Technol KAIST, Coll Business, Daejeon, South Korea
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Deakin Univ, Fac Business & Law, Deakin Business Sch, Melbourne, AustraliaDeakin Univ, Fac Business & Law, Deakin Business Sch, Melbourne, Australia
Sharma, Susan Sunila
Narayan, Paresh Kumar
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Monash Univ, Clayton, Vic, Australia
Monash Univ, Fac Business & Econ, Monash Business Sch, Wellington Rd, Clayton, Vic 3800, AustraliaDeakin Univ, Fac Business & Law, Deakin Business Sch, Melbourne, Australia