THE MARKET RISK PREMIUM AND LONG-TERM STOCK RETURNS

被引:3
|
作者
REICHENSTEIN, W
RICH, SP
机构
来源
JOURNAL OF PORTFOLIO MANAGEMENT | 1993年 / 19卷 / 04期
关键词
D O I
10.3905/jpm.1993.409461
中图分类号
F8 [财政、金融];
学科分类号
0202 ;
摘要
Recent studies conclude that the stock market's dividend yield and earnings/price ratio can predict long-horizon stock returns. The authors advocate a model of the market risk premium as a more consistent predictor of future S&P returns than either dividend yield or earnings/price ratio. They conclude that the market risk premium predicts long-horizon stock returns best because it mirrors movement in the unobservable market risk premium.
引用
收藏
页码:63 / 72
页数:10
相关论文
共 50 条
  • [1] Long-term memory in stock market returns: International evidence
    Sadique, S
    Silvapulle, P
    [J]. INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF FINANCE & ECONOMICS, 2001, 6 (01) : 59 - 67
  • [2] The empirical analysis of long-term memory of stock market returns of China
    Zhang, XL
    Yan, GL
    [J]. Proceedings of the 2005 International Conference on Management Science & Engineering (12th), Vols 1- 3, 2005, : 1785 - 1789
  • [3] The empirical research of long-term memory of stock market returns of Shanghai
    Zhang Xiaoli
    [J]. GLOBALIZATION CHALLENGE AND MANAGEMENT TRANSFORMATION, VOLS I - III, 2007, : 735 - 739
  • [4] Long-term dependence in stock returns
    Barkoulas, JT
    Baum, CF
    [J]. ECONOMICS LETTERS, 1996, 53 (03) : 253 - 259
  • [5] The long-term risk caused by the stock market bubble
    Kaliva, Kasimir
    Koskinen, Lasse
    [J]. JOURNAL OF RISK, 2008, 11 (02): : 65 - 77
  • [6] US STOCK MARKET P/E RATIOS, STRUCTURAL BREAKS, AND LONG-TERM STOCK RETURNS
    Baek, Chung
    Lee, Ingyu
    [J]. JOURNAL OF BUSINESS ECONOMICS AND MANAGEMENT, 2018, 19 (01) : 110 - 123
  • [7] Long-term adjusted volatility: Powerful capability in forecasting stock market returns
    Qiu, Rui
    Liu, Jing
    Li, Yan
    [J]. INTERNATIONAL REVIEW OF FINANCIAL ANALYSIS, 2023, 86
  • [8] The predictability of skewness risk premium on stock returns: Evidence from Chinese market
    Ni, Zhongxin
    Wang, Linyu
    [J]. INTERNATIONAL REVIEW OF ECONOMICS & FINANCE, 2023, 87 : 576 - 594
  • [9] Short-term and long-term Interconnectedness of stock returns in Western Europe and the global market
    Ajaya Kumar Panda
    Swagatika Nanda
    [J]. Financial Innovation, 3
  • [10] Short-term and long-term Interconnectedness of stock returns in Western Europe and the global market
    Panda, Ajaya Kumar
    Nanda, Swagatika
    [J]. FINANCIAL INNOVATION, 2017, 3 (01)