Hedging crude oil derivatives in GARCH-type models
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作者:
Siu, Tak Kuen
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City Univ London, Cass Business Sch, 106 Bunhill Row, London EC1Y 8TZ, England
Macquarie Univ, Fac Business & Econ, Dept Appl Finance & Actuarial Studies, Sydney, NSW 2109, AustraliaCity Univ London, Cass Business Sch, 106 Bunhill Row, London EC1Y 8TZ, England
Siu, Tak Kuen
[1
,2
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Nawar, Roy
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Barclays Secur, Tokyo 1066131, JapanCity Univ London, Cass Business Sch, 106 Bunhill Row, London EC1Y 8TZ, England
Nawar, Roy
[3
]
Ewald, Christian-Oliver
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Univ Glasgow, Adam Smith Business Sch, Glasgow G12 8QQ, Lanark, ScotlandCity Univ London, Cass Business Sch, 106 Bunhill Row, London EC1Y 8TZ, England
Ewald, Christian-Oliver
[4
]
机构:
[1] City Univ London, Cass Business Sch, 106 Bunhill Row, London EC1Y 8TZ, England
[2] Macquarie Univ, Fac Business & Econ, Dept Appl Finance & Actuarial Studies, Sydney, NSW 2109, Australia
[3] Barclays Secur, Tokyo 1066131, Japan
[4] Univ Glasgow, Adam Smith Business Sch, Glasgow G12 8QQ, Lanark, Scotland
We investigate the empirical performance of hedging strategies based on Greeks, such as Delta and Delta-Gamma, for (European-style) crude oil options in a generalized autoregressive conditional heteroscedasticity (GARCH) model environment. Particular attention is paid to studying the impacts of the conditional heteroscedasticity and the conditional nonnormality of the GARCH innovations on the option prices and the performance of these hedging strategies. To examine the empirical performance of the hedging strategies, we evaluate the value-at-risk and the expected shortfall of the terminal values of the hedging portfolios using the New York Mercantile Exchange (West Texas Intermediate) data for the period 1991-2011. Our hedging results show that GARCH with shifted gamma innovations systematically outperforms the benchmark models, namely, GARCH with normal innovations and the Black-Scholes-Merton model, in capturing tail risk across maturities and strikes for the different hedging frequencies.
机构:
Queensland Univ Technol, Sch Math Sci, Brisbane, Qld, Australia
ARC Ctr Excellence Math & Stat Frontiers ACEMS, Brisbane, Qld, AustraliaQueensland Univ Technol, Sch Math Sci, Brisbane, Qld, Australia
Li, Dan
Clements, Adam
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Queensland Univ Technol, Sch Econ & Finance, Brisbane, Qld, AustraliaQueensland Univ Technol, Sch Math Sci, Brisbane, Qld, Australia
Clements, Adam
Drovandi, Christopher
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Queensland Univ Technol, Sch Math Sci, Brisbane, Qld, Australia
ARC Ctr Excellence Math & Stat Frontiers ACEMS, Brisbane, Qld, AustraliaQueensland Univ Technol, Sch Math Sci, Brisbane, Qld, Australia
机构:
Univ Malaya, Fac Sci, Inst Math Sci, Kuala Lumpur, MalaysiaUniv Malaya, Fac Sci, Inst Math Sci, Kuala Lumpur, Malaysia
Tay, Hao-Zhe
Ng, Kok-Haur
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Univ Malaya, Fac Sci, Inst Math Sci, Kuala Lumpur, MalaysiaUniv Malaya, Fac Sci, Inst Math Sci, Kuala Lumpur, Malaysia
Ng, Kok-Haur
Koh, You-Beng
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Univ Malaya, Fac Sci, Inst Math Sci, Kuala Lumpur, MalaysiaUniv Malaya, Fac Sci, Inst Math Sci, Kuala Lumpur, Malaysia
Koh, You-Beng
Ng, Kooi-Huat
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Univ Tunku Abdul Rahman, Lee Kong Chian Fac Engn & Sci, Dept Math & Actuarial Sci, Petaling Jaya, MalaysiaUniv Malaya, Fac Sci, Inst Math Sci, Kuala Lumpur, Malaysia
机构:
South Cent Univ Nationalities, Sch Econ, Wuhan, Peoples R China
South Cent Univ Nationalities, Hubei Moderately Prosperous Soc All Respects Cons, Wuhan, Peoples R ChinaSouth Cent Univ Nationalities, Sch Econ, Wuhan, Peoples R China
Wang, Yuling
Xiang, Yunshuang
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South Cent Univ Nationalities, Sch Econ, Wuhan, Peoples R ChinaSouth Cent Univ Nationalities, Sch Econ, Wuhan, Peoples R China
Xiang, Yunshuang
Lei, Xinyu
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South Cent Univ Nationalities, Sch Econ, Wuhan, Peoples R ChinaSouth Cent Univ Nationalities, Sch Econ, Wuhan, Peoples R China
Lei, Xinyu
Zhou, Yucheng
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South Cent Univ Nationalities, Sch Econ, Wuhan, Peoples R ChinaSouth Cent Univ Nationalities, Sch Econ, Wuhan, Peoples R China