ESOPHAGEAL CANCER - A POPULATION-BASED STUDY OF SURVIVAL AFTER TREATMENT

The survival of patients with oesophageal cancer diagnosed during the period 1982-1985 in Nottingham has been studied. Of 496 patients identified from endoscopy, histopathology and hospital activity analysis records, 268 (171 men) lived in the catchment area and had primary oesophageal cancer. Compared with previous studies the proportion of adenocarcinoma (35 per cent) was twice that expected, although survival was similar (hazard rate ratio at 2 years 1.0 (95 per cent confidence interval (c.i.) 0.8-1.4)) whether a squamous cell carcinoma or adenocarcinoma was present. Based on the original treatment intention, surgery was attempted in 34 per cent of cases and was associated with a median survival from diagnosis of 293 (95 per cent c.i. 232-367) days, with 41, 19 and 11 per cent surviving 1, 2 and 3 years respectively. Radical radiotherapy was attempted in 13 per cent of patients and was associated with a median survival of 190 (95 per cent c.i. 136-253) days, with 14, 6 and 6 per cent surviving 1, 2 and 3 years. Intubation alone was performed in 40 per cent of patients, of whom 44 per cent were aged over 75 years and 29 per cent had evidence of metastases, compared with 13 and 11 per cent respectively of those undergoing surgery or radical radiotherapy. The median survival for intubation alone was 100 (95 per cent c.i. 81-122) days, with 6, 3 and 0 per cent of patients surviving 1, 2 and 3 years respectively. Although patients treated surgically had the longest survival, these data indicate that overall survival after any active intervention is modest. Intubation alone is a reasonable option in those not suitable for surgery; randomized trials are needed to compare intubation with new methods of palliation.