REAL-TIME FLOOD FORECASTING USING A STOCHASTIC RAINFALL GENERATOR

被引：39
|
作者：
LARDET, P
OBLED, C
机构：
[1] INST NATL POLYTECH GRENOBLE,ETUDE TRANSFERTS HYDROL & ENVIRONNEMENT LAB,F-38041 GRENOBLE,FRANCE
[2] UNIV NEWCASTLE UPON TYNE,DEPT CIVIL ENGN,NEWCASTLE TYNE NE1 7RU,TYNE & WEAR,ENGLAND
来源：
JOURNAL OF HYDROLOGY | 1994年 / 162卷 / 3-4期
关键词：
D O I：
10.1016/0022-1694(94)90238-0
中图分类号：
TU [建筑科学];
学科分类号：
0813 ;
摘要：
This paper concerns the problem of extending the lead-time of hood forecasts on small catchments when using a lumped rainfall-runoff model. It shows how a stochastic rainfall generator, based on renewal processes, has been linked to a rainfall-runoff model for the Mediterranean catchment of the Garden d'Anduze (545 km(2)). This linked system provides future scenarios conditioned by past observed rainfalls and includes a confidence interval calculation for the flood forecasts. It is reliable 4 h ahead, but could be useful for decisionmaking beyond this period. Although already operational, the proposed system could be improved if better rainfall forecasts were available.
引用
收藏
页码：391 / 408
页数：18
相关论文
共 50 条
  • [1] RAINFALL-BASED REAL-TIME FLOOD FORECASTING
    BERTONI, JC
    TUCCI, CE
    CLARKE, RT
    JOURNAL OF HYDROLOGY, 1992, 131 (1-4) : 313 - 339
  • [2] Real-Time Updating of Rainfall Threshold Curves for Flood Forecasting
    Golian, Saeed
    Fallahi, Mohammad Reza
    Behbahani, Seyyed Mahmoudreza
    Sharifi, Soroosh
    Sharma, Ashish
    JOURNAL OF HYDROLOGIC ENGINEERING, 2015, 20 (04)
  • [3] Flood forecasting on the Tocantins River using ensemble rainfall forecasts and real-time satellite rainfall estimates
    Fan, F. M.
    Collischonn, W.
    Quiroz, K. J.
    Sorribas, M. V.
    Buarque, D. C.
    Siqueira, V. A.
    JOURNAL OF FLOOD RISK MANAGEMENT, 2016, 9 (03): : 278 - 288
  • [4] A STOCHASTIC-DYNAMIC MODEL FOR REAL-TIME FLOOD FORECASTING
    CHOW, KCA
    WATT, WE
    WATTS, DG
    WATER RESOURCES RESEARCH, 1983, 19 (03) : 746 - 752
  • [5] Real-time rainfall monitoring and flood inundation forecasting for the city of Kolkata
    Sen, D. (djsen@civil.iitkgp.ernet.in), 1600, Taylor and Francis Ltd. (19):
  • [6] Real-time flood forecasting using neural networks
    Thirumalaiah, K.
    Deo, M.C.
    Computer-Aided Civil and Infrastructure Engineering, 1998, 13 (02): : 101 - 111
  • [7] A STOCHASTIC-DYNAMIC MODEL FOR REAL-TIME FLOOD FORECASTING - COMMENT
    KUMAR, A
    WATER RESOURCES RESEARCH, 1984, 20 (12) : 1921 - 1922
  • [8] A STOCHASTIC REAL-TIME SPRING FLOOD FORECASTING SYSTEM FOR CARMAN, MANITOBA
    FAY, DM
    WATT, WE
    WATTS, DG
    CANADIAN JOURNAL OF CIVIL ENGINEERING, 1987, 14 (01) : 87 - 96
  • [9] A STOCHASTIC-DYNAMIC MODEL FOR REAL-TIME FLOOD FORECASTING - REPLY
    CHOW, KCA
    WATT, WE
    WATTS, DG
    WATER RESOURCES RESEARCH, 1984, 20 (12) : 1923 - 1924
  • [10] Influence of rainfall input on real-time flood forecasting accuracy and forecast period
    Wen Y.
    Li Z.
    Sun M.
    Li Q.
    Huo W.
    Hupo Kexue/Journal of Lake Sciences, 2019, 31 (01): : 39 - 51
12345