Strategic future planning with scenario analysis

被引：0
|
作者：
Backhaus, K. [1 ]
Roeder, N. [2 ]
Bunzemeier, H. [3 ]
Mohr, S. [1 ]
Leifke, C. [1 ]
机构：
[1] Westfalische Wilhelms Univ, Inst Anlagen & Systemtechnol, Konigsstr 47, D-48143 Munster, Germany
[2] Univ Klinikum Munster, Vorstand, Munster, Germany
[3] Univ Klinikum Munster, Med Management, Munster, Germany
来源：
ZEITSCHRIFT FUR HERZ THORAX UND GEFASSCHIRURGIE | 2015年 / 29卷 / 05期
关键词：
Hospital management; Patient care; Research; Development; Forecasting;
D O I：
10.1007/s00398-015-0013-x
中图分类号：
R5 [内科学];
学科分类号：
1002 ; 100201 ;
摘要：
In light of disruptive and fast pace changes in the German healthcare sector, strategic planning has nowadays become a prerequisite for securing the existence of hospitals. Thereby, strategies serve as frameworks for organizational activities that rely on realistic assumptions about future developments. These assumptions can be derived using different methods, such as forecasting and scenario analysis. Scenario analysis appears to be more efficient than traditional forecasting, especially for highly dynamic and uncertain fields. As a method for strategic planning, scenario analysis may also be suitable for the innovative field of cardiovascularmedicine, particularly for the purpose of strategic positioning within the highly competitive fields of cardiology and heart surgery.
引用
收藏
页码：330 / 334
页数：5
相关论文
共 50 条
  • [1] Strategic future planning with scenario analysis
    Backhaus K.
    Roeder N.
    Bunzemeier H.
    Mohr S.
    Leifke C.
    [J]. Der Pneumologe, 2016, 13 (1): : 58 - 64
  • [2] Fuzzy scenario analysis in strategic planning
    Wang, HF
    Chang, WY
    [J]. INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF GENERAL SYSTEMS, 2001, 30 (02) : 193 - 207
  • [3] Strategic future planning with scenario analysis [Strategische Zukunftsplanung mithilfe der Szenarioanalyse]
    Backhaus K.
    Roeder N.
    Bunzemeier H.
    Mohr S.
    Leifke C.
    [J]. Zeitschrift für Herz-,Thorax- und Gefäßchirurgie, 2015, 29 (5) : 330 - 334
  • [4] Strategic Alignment: Using SWOT Analysis and Scenario Planning
    Abu-Alghanam, Khaled. M.
    Al-Hashem, Adel
    [J]. 2011 INTERNATIONAL CONFERENCE ON APPLIED SOCIAL SCIENCE (ICASS 2011), VOL 1, 2011, : 81 - +
  • [5] A NEW METHOD OF SCENARIO ANALYSIS FOR STRATEGIC-PLANNING
    BRAUERS, J
    WEBER, M
    [J]. JOURNAL OF FORECASTING, 1988, 7 (01) : 31 - 47
  • [6] The future of tourism: evolution and future of scenario planning and strategic foresight in tourism with Albert Postma
    Hartman, Stefan
    Postma, Albert
    [J]. JOURNAL OF TOURISM FUTURES, 2024,
  • [7] Scenario thinking and strategic planning
    Wagner, Cynthia G.
    [J]. FUTURIST, 2007, 41 (05) : 3 - 3
  • [8] Scenario planning for strategic regional transportation planning
    Zegras, C
    Sussman, J
    Conklin, C
    [J]. JOURNAL OF URBAN PLANNING AND DEVELOPMENT, 2004, 130 (01) : 2 - 13
  • [9] Scenario Analysis and Strategic Planning: Practical Applications for Radiology Practices
    Lexa, Frank James
    Chan, Stephen
    [J]. JOURNAL OF THE AMERICAN COLLEGE OF RADIOLOGY, 2010, 7 (05) : 369 - 373
  • [10] A NEW METHOD OF SCENARIO ANALYSIS FOR STRATEGIC-PLANNING - REPLY
    BRAUERS, J
    WEBER, M
    [J]. JOURNAL OF FORECASTING, 1989, 8 (02) : 158 - 158
12345