FORECASTING THE CONSUMPTION OF GASOLINE IN THE UNITED-STATES

The scarce oil situation in the 1970s gave rise to pressures to improve the Miles per Gallon efficiency of the U.S. car fleet. Responding to that pressure, at least one Corporate Strategic Planning group modeled forecasted U.S. gasoline consumption for personal vehicles. The pattern for the usage of U.S. gasoline usage was shown to decline through the year 2000, if current trends continued. Current rumors of the U.S. government's intention to again target the automobile led the authors to revisit that analysis with the intention of making the findings public. This paper updates this model to show U.S. gasoline consumption patterns through the year 2002.