Hedging with Weather Derivatives to Cope with Climate Variability and Change in Grain Maize Production

被引:15
|
作者
Torriani, Daniele Simone [1 ]
Calanca, Pierluigi [2 ]
Beniston, Martin [3 ]
Fuhrer, Jurg [2 ]
机构
[1] SwissRe Globals & Large Risks Mythenquas, Zurich, Switzerland
[2] Agroscope Res Stn ART, Air Pollut Climate Grp, Zurich, Switzerland
[3] Univ Geneva, Climate Res, Geneva, Switzerland
基金
瑞士国家科学基金会;
关键词
climate risks; climate change; drought; hedging; maize production; weather derivaties;
D O I
10.1108/00214660880001219
中图分类号
F3 [农业经济];
学科分类号
0202 ; 020205 ; 1203 ;
摘要
The effectiveness of hedging drought risks with weather derivatives was investigated for rain-fed grain maize production in Switzerland under current (1981-2003) and projected future (2070-2100) climatic conditions. Depending on location, hedging reduced the value-at- (VaR) measure to a variable degree, although with a considerable basis risk, but hedging may provide a valid risk transfer since loading of 90 per cent to 240 per cent of the fair premium can be paid to obtain a hedged situation with improved outcomes relative to the reference. However, the fair premium of a specific contract may vary by a factor of two to four over the 70-year period considered, which represents a substantial uncertainty for both the farmer and the institution writing the contract.
引用
收藏
页码:67 / +
页数:16
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