EXTRACTING THE COHERENT CORE OF HUMAN PROBABILITY JUDGMENT - A RESEARCH-PROGRAM FOR COGNITIVE-PSYCHOLOGY

被引：4
|
作者：
OSHERSON, D
SHAFIR, E
SMITH, EE
机构：
[1] PRINCETON UNIV, DEPT PSYCHOL, PRINCETON, NJ 08544 USA
[2] UNIV MICHIGAN, DEPT PSYCHOL, ANN ARBOR, MI 48104 USA
来源：
COGNITION | 1994年 / 50卷 / 1-3期
关键词：
D O I：
10.1016/0010-0277(94)90033-7
中图分类号：
B84 [心理学];
学科分类号：
04 ; 0402 ;
摘要：
Human intuition is a rich and useful guide to uncertain events in the environment but suffers from probabilistic incoherence in the technical sense. Developing methods for extracting a coherent body of judgement that is maximally consistent with a person's intuition is a challenging task for cognitive psychology, and also relevant to the construction of artificial expert systems. The present article motivates this problem, and outlines one approach to it.
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页码：299 / 313
页数：15
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