Variation in Larval Fish Assemblage Dynamics Associated with Harmful Algal Blooms in a Temperate Estuary, South Africa

Eutrophication and concomitant harmful algal blooms (HABs) are on the rise globally and pose a threat to larval stages of fishes that rely on estuarine nursery habitats for growth and survival. The anthropogenically altered low inflow estuary (LIE), Sundays Estuary, South Africa, supports persistent and predictable HABs. This study investigated the effects of HABs on the environmental conditions and larval fish assemblage of this warm temperate nursery area. Sampling took place during the austral spring of 2016 and 2018 at three sites in the mesohaline zone where both larval fish abundance and HABs are known to reach maxima. Physico-chemical and phytoplankton data were collected during the day and night, while larval fishes were sampled after nightfall. Physico-chemical parameters and larval fish assemblages were compared by water column (surface and bottom) and sites within the mesohaline zone, years, and HAB intensity (hypereutrophic ≥ 2781 H. akashiwo cells•mL−1; standard ≥ 205 H. akashiwo cells•mL−1; none < 205 H. akashiwo cells•mL−1). A longer period of consecutive hypereutrophic bloom conditions was recorded during 2018 compared to 2016. Dissolved oxygen concentration was notably higher during hypereutrophic blooms (χ2 = 23.759, df = 2, P < 0.001) and reached a maximum of approximately 21 mg•L−1 during the day and 13 mg•L−1 at night. Density and similarity of estuarine resident larval assemblages were negatively correlated to supersaturated dissolved oxygen concentrations. Greater mean densities of estuarine resident larvae were recorded during hypereutrophic blooms compared to standard blooms and bloom absence and diversity was lower during 2018 when hypereutrophic bloom conditions were more persistent. These changes may have major implications for successful early development of fishes that rely on the Sundays Estuary and similar LIEs as a nursery.