Beyond network structure: How heterogeneous susceptibility modulates the spread of epidemics

被引:0
|
作者
Daniel Smilkov
Cesar A. Hidalgo
Ljupco Kocarev
机构
[1] The MIT Media Lab,
[2] Massachusetts Institute of Technology,undefined
[3] Macedonian Academy for Sciences and Arts,undefined
[4] BioCircuits Institute,undefined
[5] University of California,undefined
[6] Faculty of Computer Science and Engineering,undefined
[7] University “Sv Kiril i Metodij”,undefined
来源
关键词
D O I
暂无
中图分类号
学科分类号
摘要
The compartmental models used to study epidemic spreading often assume the same susceptibility for all individuals and are therefore, agnostic about the effects that differences in susceptibility can have on epidemic spreading. Here we show that–for the SIS model–differential susceptibility can make networks more vulnerable to the spread of diseases when the correlation between a node's degree and susceptibility are positive and less vulnerable when this correlation is negative. Moreover, we show that networks become more likely to contain a pocket of infection when individuals are more likely to connect with others that have similar susceptibility (the network is segregated). These results show that the failure to include differential susceptibility to epidemic models can lead to a systematic over/under estimation of fundamental epidemic parameters when the structure of the networks is not independent from the susceptibility of the nodes or when there are correlations between the susceptibility of connected individuals.
引用
收藏
相关论文
共 50 条
  • [1] Beyond network structure: How heterogeneous susceptibility modulates the spread of epidemics
    Smilkov, Daniel
    Hidalgo, Cesar A.
    Kocarev, Ljupco
    [J]. SCIENTIFIC REPORTS, 2014, 4
  • [2] Epidemics spread in heterogeneous populations
    Capala, Karol
    Dybiec, Bartlomiej
    [J]. EUROPEAN PHYSICAL JOURNAL B, 2017, 90 (05):
  • [3] Epidemics spread in heterogeneous populations
    Karol Capała
    Bartłomiej Dybiec
    [J]. The European Physical Journal B, 2017, 90
  • [4] On the spread of epidemics in a closed heterogeneous population
    Novozhilov, Artem S.
    [J]. MATHEMATICAL BIOSCIENCES, 2008, 215 (02) : 177 - 185
  • [5] How do epidemics spread?
    不详
    [J]. ZEITSCHRIFT FUR RHEUMATOLOGIE, 2006, 65 (07): : 639 - 639
  • [6] The size of epidemics in populations with heterogeneous susceptibility
    Guy Katriel
    [J]. Journal of Mathematical Biology, 2012, 65 : 237 - 262
  • [7] The size of epidemics in populations with heterogeneous susceptibility
    Katriel, Guy
    [J]. JOURNAL OF MATHEMATICAL BIOLOGY, 2012, 65 (02) : 237 - 262
  • [8] The effect of network topology on the spread of epidemics
    Ganesh, A
    Massoulié, L
    Towsley, D
    [J]. IEEE Infocom 2005: The Conference on Computer Communications, Vols 1-4, Proceedings, 2005, : 1455 - 1466
  • [9] A cellular automata model of epidemics of a heterogeneous susceptibility
    Jin Zhen
    Liu Quan-Xing
    [J]. CHINESE PHYSICS, 2006, 15 (06): : 1248 - 1256
  • [10] Network structure-based interventions on spatial spread of epidemics in metapopulation networks
    Wang, Bing
    Gou, Min
    Guo, YiKe
    Tanaka, Gouhei
    Han, Yuexing
    [J]. PHYSICAL REVIEW E, 2020, 102 (06)