Temporal and spatial variation in water quality in the Yangtze Estuary from 2012 to 2018

Water quality plays an important role in estuarine habitats and affects aquatic organisms. The focus of this study was to understand the temporal-spatial variation of water quality and reveal the natural and anthropogenic drivers by using multiple analysis approaches. Herein, during 2012–2018, six water quality constituents (pH, electrical conductivity (EC), dissolved oxygen (DO), ammonia nitrogen (NH3N), total nitrogen (TN), and total phosphorus (TP) were examined for eight sites in the Yangtze Estuary, and the hydro-sediment data, i.e., discharge (Q) and sediment transport rate (STR), was collected from the upstream hydrological station Datong. The cluster analysis (CA), principal component analysis (PCA)/factor analysis (FA), Canadian Council of Ministers of the Environment Water Quality Index (CCME-WQI), and the Mann–Kendall (MK) test were applied. The eight sampling sites were geographically grouped into cluster I, cluster II, and cluster III based on the characteristics of water quality changes, which are under the influence of the upstream runoff, the anthropogenic activities, and seawater. The results are as follows: (1) NH3N, TN, and DO were key constituents representing the water quality of cluster I and cluster III, and those were EC, TN, and DO for cluster II; (2) The monthly-average Q and STR of Datong were negatively correlated to water quality constituents with seasonal variation except for pH; (3) The impact of anthropogenic activities on water quality was especially reflected in cluster III which is close to the Huangpu River Estuary; upstream runoff was the natural driver of water quality changes for cluster I while that was seawater for cluster II. Seawater acts a key role in affecting the water quality of cluster II situated at the North Branch. Revealing the key drivers of water quality change in the Yangtze Estuary provides a reference for water quality management.