An empirical assessment of the premium associated with meeting or beating both time-series earnings expectations and analysts' forecasts

被引:10
|
作者
Dopuch N. [1 ]
Seethamraju C. [2 ]
Xu W. [3 ]
机构
[1] Olin School of Business, Washington University, St. Louis, MO
[2] Mellon Capital Management, San Francisco, CA 94105
[3] 354 Jacobs Management Center, Department of Accounting and Law, State University of New York at Buffalo, Buffalo
关键词
Analysts' forecasts; Beat; Meet; Time-series earnings expectations;
D O I
10.1007/s11156-007-0075-2
中图分类号
学科分类号
摘要
Recent research provides evidence of a market premium accruing to firms that meet or beat analysts' forecasts. We find similar results for our sample of firms. However, we also find a market premium for firms that meet or beat time-series forecasts, and that the highest market premium accrued to firms that meet or beat both analysts' and time-series forecasts. These findings are supported by assessments of future financial performance over the next two subsequent years. Our findings are consistent with the notion that when time-series benchmark is used in conjunction with analysts' forecasts, investors obtain a more reliable (i.e., less noisy) signal regarding whether firms have actually met or beaten market expectations. © 2007 Springer Science+Business Media, LLC.
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页码:147 / 166
页数:19
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