The influence of climate change on irrigation water requirements for corn in the coastal region of Ecuador

This study investigated the irrigation water requirements (IWR) for corn in five provinces of the coastal region of Ecuador that have been influenced by climate change. The weather data were statistically downscaled from six General Circulation Models and compared with the current climate period from 1986 to 2012. CROPWAT 8.0 was used to estimate future IWR for corn cultivation from 2011 to 2100 based on the Representative Concentration Pathways 4.5 and 8.5 scenarios. Also the frequency of predicted rainfall for future periods was analysed to identify the possibility of obtaining the amount of water required for corn plantation from rainfall. The projected trend of future climate showed increases in temperature and rainfall. The predicted IWR showed a decreasing trend in the rainy season and a similar or slightly lower trend in the dry season. Sufficient rain for corn cultivation was predicted for the wet region of the study area, with lower IWR, whereas most of the dry region was shown to have similar patterns of current water demands, except an increase in predicted rainfall resulted in lower IWR in some parts of this region.