The assessment of traffic accident risk based on grey relational analysis and fuzzy comprehensive evaluation method

被引：0

作者：

Yaolong Liu

Xiaoli Huang

Jin Duan

Huaming Zhang

机构：

[1] Taiyuan University of Technology,College of Economics and Management

[2] Taiyuan University of Technology,Institute of Politics and Law

[3] Meteorological Disaster Prevention Technology Center of Shanxi Province,undefined

来源：

Natural Hazards | 2017年 / 88卷

关键词：

Grey relational degree; Fuzzy comprehensive evaluation; Traffic accident risk; Safety;

D O I：

暂无

中图分类号：

学科分类号：

摘要：

The traffic accident risk includes three aspects, traffic accident probability, traffic accident severity, and traffic accident trend respectively. In this paper, nine indicators are selected to evaluate the traffic accident risk. The grey relational analysis method was used to determine the weights, and the fuzzy comprehensive evaluation method was used to calculate the risk. These methods were applied to assess the comprehensive risk of traffic accident in 31 provinces in China. The results show that the average value of traffic accident risk is 55.17. Nine provinces which are located in the northwest area and southeast area belong to the high-risk level. The medium-risk areas are widely distributed in the central, northeast, and southwest regions. The low-risk areas are Jilin, Neimenggu, Guizhou, and Beijing. The results have great significance for the measurement and management of regional traffic accident risk.

引用

页码：1409 / 1422

页数：13

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