Evaluating the Sustainable COVID-19 Vaccination Framework of India Using Recurrent Neural Networks

被引:0
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作者
Anshul Gupta
Sunil K. Singh
Brij B. Gupta
Muskaan Chopra
Shabeg Singh Gill
机构
[1] Chandigarh College of Engineering and Technology,Department of Computer Science and Engineering
[2] Asia University,CCRI & Department of Computer Science and Information Engineering
[3] Indraprastha Institute of Information Technology,Department of Computer Science and Engineering
[4] Kyung Hee University, Symbiosis Centre for Information Technology (SCIT)
[5] Symbiosis International University, Center for Interdisciplinary Research
[6] Lebanese American University,Department of Computer Science, Faculty of Engineering
[7] University of Petroleum and Energy Studies (UPES),undefined
[8] Albert Ludwigs University of Freiburg,undefined
来源
关键词
Vaccine; COVID-19; MoHFW; Indian government; Vaccination Drive; Prophet; Exponential smoothing; Recurrent neural networks; Long short term memory; Deep learning; Time series forecasting;
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摘要
COVID-19 has laid an impact on every sector of the world. Howsoever severe, vaccines have acted as the sole source of a protective guard to prevent the further spread of the COVID-19 pandemic. In this research, the authors broadly focus on the trends in the vaccination drive of India. The paper revolves around a prediction and evaluation approach, which depending on the past and the current trends of daily vaccinations, obtain comparable results using a self-built recurrent neural network of LSTM layers for this study on time series evaluation. Through the neural network, the study predicts the exact vaccination figures likely to be achieved 1 year after vaccine introduction in the Indian subcontinent. The gathered data from January 16, 2021, until September 30, 2021, follow effective visualization of how the model outputs resemble the vaccination numbers for October 2021 and the predictions until January 16, 2022. Finally, the paper follows an extensive data analysis keeping in mind, the analogy of the number of COVID-19 cases and deaths before and after the vaccination system was centralized, to prove how sustainable the framework has been so far.
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页码:73 / 91
页数:18
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