Analysis of a two-strain malaria transmission model with spatial heterogeneity and vector-bias

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作者
Yangyang Shi
Hongyong Zhao
机构
[1] Nanjing University of Aeronautics and Astronautics,Department of Mathematics
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关键词
Malaria; Reaction–diffusion; Vector-bias; Two-strain; Heterogeneity; Reproduction number; 35K57; 37N25; 92D30;
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摘要
In this paper, we introduce a reaction–diffusion malaria model which incorporates vector-bias, spatial heterogeneity, sensitive and resistant strains. The main question that we study is the threshold dynamics of the model, in particular, whether the existence of spatial structure would allow two strains to coexist. In order to achieve this goal, we define the basic reproduction number Ri\documentclass[12pt]{minimal} \usepackage{amsmath} \usepackage{wasysym} \usepackage{amsfonts} \usepackage{amssymb} \usepackage{amsbsy} \usepackage{mathrsfs} \usepackage{upgreek} \setlength{\oddsidemargin}{-69pt} \begin{document}$$R_{i}$$\end{document} and introduce the invasion reproduction number R^i\documentclass[12pt]{minimal} \usepackage{amsmath} \usepackage{wasysym} \usepackage{amsfonts} \usepackage{amssymb} \usepackage{amsbsy} \usepackage{mathrsfs} \usepackage{upgreek} \setlength{\oddsidemargin}{-69pt} \begin{document}$${\hat{R}}_{i}$$\end{document} for strain i(i=1,2)\documentclass[12pt]{minimal} \usepackage{amsmath} \usepackage{wasysym} \usepackage{amsfonts} \usepackage{amssymb} \usepackage{amsbsy} \usepackage{mathrsfs} \usepackage{upgreek} \setlength{\oddsidemargin}{-69pt} \begin{document}$$i (i=1,2)$$\end{document}. A quantitative analysis shows that if Ri<1\documentclass[12pt]{minimal} \usepackage{amsmath} \usepackage{wasysym} \usepackage{amsfonts} \usepackage{amssymb} \usepackage{amsbsy} \usepackage{mathrsfs} \usepackage{upgreek} \setlength{\oddsidemargin}{-69pt} \begin{document}$$R_{i}<1$$\end{document}, then disease-free steady state is globally asymptotically stable, while competitive exclusion, where strain i persists and strain j dies out, is a possible outcome when Ri>1>Rj\documentclass[12pt]{minimal} \usepackage{amsmath} \usepackage{wasysym} \usepackage{amsfonts} \usepackage{amssymb} \usepackage{amsbsy} \usepackage{mathrsfs} \usepackage{upgreek} \setlength{\oddsidemargin}{-69pt} \begin{document}$$R_{i}>1>R_{j}$$\end{document}(i≠j,i,j=1,2)\documentclass[12pt]{minimal} \usepackage{amsmath} \usepackage{wasysym} \usepackage{amsfonts} \usepackage{amssymb} \usepackage{amsbsy} \usepackage{mathrsfs} \usepackage{upgreek} \setlength{\oddsidemargin}{-69pt} \begin{document}$$(i\ne j, i,j=1,2)$$\end{document}, and a unique solution with two strains coexist to the model is globally asymptotically stable if Ri>1\documentclass[12pt]{minimal} \usepackage{amsmath} \usepackage{wasysym} \usepackage{amsfonts} \usepackage{amssymb} \usepackage{amsbsy} \usepackage{mathrsfs} \usepackage{upgreek} \setlength{\oddsidemargin}{-69pt} \begin{document}$$R_{i}>1$$\end{document}, R^i>1\documentclass[12pt]{minimal} \usepackage{amsmath} \usepackage{wasysym} \usepackage{amsfonts} \usepackage{amssymb} \usepackage{amsbsy} \usepackage{mathrsfs} \usepackage{upgreek} \setlength{\oddsidemargin}{-69pt} \begin{document}$${\hat{R}}_{i}>1$$\end{document}. Numerical simulations reinforce these analytical results and demonstrate epidemiological interaction between two strains, discuss the influence of resistant strains and study the effects of vector-bias on the transmission of malaria.
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