Robust portfolio choice with stochastic interest rates

被引:55
|
作者
Flor C.R. [1 ]
Larsen L.S. [1 ]
机构
[1] Department of Business and Economics, University of Southern Denmark, 5230 Odense M
关键词
Ambiguity aversion; Model uncertainty; Robust control; Welfare loss;
D O I
10.1007/s10436-013-0234-5
中图分类号
学科分类号
摘要
We determine the optimal investment strategy for an ambiguity-averse investor in a setting with stochastic interest rates. The investor has access to stocks, bonds, and a bank account and he is ambiguous about the expected rate of return of both bonds and stocks. The investor can have different levels of ambiguity aversion about the two types of risky assets. We find that it is more important to take model uncertainty about the stock dynamics than model uncertainty about the bond dynamics into account. Furthermore, the investor's ambiguity increases his hedging demand. Consequently, the bond/stock ratio increases with his ambiguity and implies less extreme positions in the bank account. Altogether, our model yields portfolio allocations which are more in line with what is implementable in practice. Finally, we demonstrate that neglecting model uncertainty implies significant losses for the investor. © 2013 Springer-Verlag Berlin Heidelberg.
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页码:243 / 265
页数:22
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