Twenty-first-century projections of North Atlantic tropical storms from CMIP5 models

被引:0
|
作者
Gabriele Villarini
Gabriel A. Vecchi
机构
[1] Princeton University,Department of Civil and Environmental Engineering
[2] Willis Research Network,undefined
[3] Geophysical Fluid Dynamics Laboratory,undefined
[4] National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration,undefined
关键词
D O I
10.1038/nclimate1530
中图分类号
学科分类号
摘要
This study looks at changes in North Atlantic tropical storm occurrence in the twenty-first century, and finds that over the first half of the century, storm frequency increases were caused by radiative forcing changes, not increasing carbon dioxide. The chaotic nature of the climate system and the climate response to radiative forcing are the largest uncertainties in North Atlantic tropical storm frequency.
引用
收藏
页码:604 / 607
页数:3
相关论文
共 50 条
  • [1] Twenty-first-century projections of North Atlantic tropical storms from CMIP5 models
    Villarini, Gabriele
    Vecchi, Gabriel A.
    [J]. NATURE CLIMATE CHANGE, 2012, 2 (08) : 604 - 607
  • [2] Uncertainty in Twenty-First-Century CMIP5 Sea Level Projections
    Little, Christopher M.
    Horton, Radley M.
    Kopp, Robert E.
    Oppenheimer, Michael
    Yip, Stan
    [J]. JOURNAL OF CLIMATE, 2015, 28 (02) : 838 - 852
  • [3] North American Climate in CMIP5 Experiments: Part III: Assessment of Twenty-First-Century Projections*
    Maloney, Eric D.
    Camargo, Suzana J.
    Chang, Edmund
    Colle, Brian
    Fu, Rong
    Geil, Kerrie L.
    Hu, Qi
    Jiang, Xianan
    Johnson, Nathaniel
    Karnauskas, Kristopher B.
    Kinter, James
    Kirtman, Benjamin
    Kumar, Sanjiv
    Langenbrunner, Baird
    Lombardo, Kelly
    Long, Lindsey N.
    Mariotti, Annarita
    Meyerson, Joyce E.
    Mo, Kingtse C.
    Neelin, J. David
    Pan, Zaitao
    Seager, Richard
    Serra, Yolande
    Seth, Anji
    Sheffield, Justin
    Stroeve, Julienne
    Thibeault, Jeanne
    Xie, Shang-Ping
    Wang, Chunzai
    Wyman, Bruce
    Zhao, Ming
    [J]. JOURNAL OF CLIMATE, 2014, 27 (06) : 2230 - 2270
  • [4] Nitrogen Availability Reduces CMIP5 Projections of Twenty-First-Century Land Carbon Uptake
    Zaehle, Soenke
    Jones, Chris D.
    Houlton, Benjamin
    Lamarque, Jean-Francois
    Robertson, Eddy
    [J]. JOURNAL OF CLIMATE, 2015, 28 (06) : 2494 - 2511
  • [5] Uncertainty in twenty-first century projections of the Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation in CMIP3 and CMIP5 models
    Reintges, Annika
    Martin, Thomas
    Latif, Mojib
    Keenlyside, Noel S.
    [J]. CLIMATE DYNAMICS, 2017, 49 (5-6) : 1495 - 1511
  • [6] Uncertainty in twenty-first century projections of the Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation in CMIP3 and CMIP5 models
    Annika Reintges
    Thomas Martin
    Mojib Latif
    Noel S. Keenlyside
    [J]. Climate Dynamics, 2017, 49 : 1495 - 1511
  • [7] Dynamical Downscaling Projections of Twenty-First-Century Atlantic Hurricane Activity: CMIP3 and CMIP5 Model-Based Scenarios
    Knutson, Thomas R.
    Sirutis, Joseph J.
    Vecchi, Gabriel A.
    Garner, Stephen
    Zhao, Ming
    Kim, Hyeong-Seog
    Bender, Morris
    Tuleya, Robert E.
    Held, Isaac M.
    Villarini, Gabriele
    [J]. JOURNAL OF CLIMATE, 2013, 26 (17) : 6591 - 6617
  • [8] The Rainfall Sensitivity of Tropical Net Primary Production in CMIP5 Twentieth-and Twenty-First-Century Simulations
    Negron-Juarez, Robinson I.
    Riley, William J.
    Koven, Charles D.
    Knox, Ryan G.
    Taylor, Philip G.
    Chambers, Jeffrey Q.
    [J]. JOURNAL OF CLIMATE, 2015, 28 (23) : 9313 - 9331
  • [9] Temperature projections over Iran during the twenty-first century using CMIP5 models
    Usta, David Francisco Bustos
    Teymouri, Maryam
    Chatterjee, Uday
    Koley, Bappaditya
    [J]. MODELING EARTH SYSTEMS AND ENVIRONMENT, 2022, 8 (01) : 749 - 760
  • [10] Temperature projections over Iran during the twenty-first century using CMIP5 models
    David Francisco Bustos Usta
    Maryam Teymouri
    Uday Chatterjee
    Bappaditya Koley
    [J]. Modeling Earth Systems and Environment, 2022, 8 : 749 - 760