Conservation and sustainable development of coastal species of horticultural importance: insights from genetic and environmental patterns at spatio-temporal scale

Understanding genetic patterns at the regional level and the environmental influence on them is important for the conservation and sustainable use of economically important plant species. In this study, we focused on Thespesia populnea, a coastal species valued for its ecological and economic benefits across its pantropical distribution range. We aimed to understand the phylogeographic pattern, the current spatial distribution of genetic diversity, and range dynamics of the species with changing environmental conditions to better inform conservation and development actions. We genotyped 482 individuals, collected from 33 natural populations, at five chloroplast DNA loci and identified the influence of historical processes on the contemporary population structure of the species in the Indo-West Pacific (IWP) region. Environmental niche modeling (ENM) was used to identify the species’ glacial and future climate refugia. High genetic diversity at the species level was observed. Nearly one-third of the populations showed no polymorphism, possibly due to extinction-recolonization events induced by glacial sea-level changes, as evident from the analysis of demographic history. The evolutionary relationship between the haplotypes suggested a strong phylogeographic structure. The clustering algorithms identified two genetic lineages that diverged around the Pleistocene epoch. The difference between the climatic niches of the two lineages was not significant. The ensembled ENM indicated range expansion of the species in the future. Based on the findings, we proposed sustainable use of genetically diverse populations, outlined measures to preserve the evolutionary potential of the lineages, and identified areas that should be prioritized for conservation actions of this important plant species.