RETRACTED ARTICLE: Prediction of economic growth by extreme learning approach based on science and technology transfer

被引:0
|
作者
Petra Karanikić
Igor Mladenović
Svetlana Sokolov-Mladenović
Meysam Alizamir
机构
[1] University of Rijeka,Department of Biotechnology
[2] University of Niš,Young Researchers and Elites Club, Hamedan Branch
[3] Faculty of Economics,undefined
[4] Islamic Azad University,undefined
来源
Quality & Quantity | 2017年 / 51卷
关键词
GDP; Forecasting; Extreme learning machine; Economic growth;
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摘要
The purpose of this research is to develop and apply the extreme learning machine (ELM) to forecast gross domestic product (GDP) growth rate. Economic growth may be developed on the basis on combination of different factors. In this investigation was analyzed the economic growth prediction based on the science and technology transfer. The main goal was to analyze the influence of number of granted European patents on the economic growth by field of technology. GDP was used as economic growth indicator. The ELM results are compared with genetic programming (GP) and artificial neural network (ANN). The reliability of the computational models were accessed based on simulation results and using several statistical indicators. Coefficient of determination for ELM method is 0.9841, for ANN method it is 0.7956 and for the GP method it is 0.7561. Based upon simulation results, it is demonstrated that ELM can be utilized effectively in applications of GDP forecasting.
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页码:1395 / 1401
页数:6
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